Sport Picks

Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras Prediction & H2H Stats

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción

Cerro Porteno

1 - 1

Palmeiras

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Allan Elias

33'

Arias J.

Assist: Allan Elias

46'

Sub

Viera W. In: Klimowicz M.

Out: Viera W.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Cerro Porteno

35%

Draws

31%

Palmeiras

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Cerro Porteno haven't matched Palmeiras's recent run of results.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Palmeiras arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Palmeiras, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 19%

Palmeiras Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cerro Porteno	Palmeiras
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	12	14
Draws	7	11
Losses	9	4
Goals Scored	1.07	1.72
Goals Conceded	0.89	0.76
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras

0:1

Aug 12, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno

1:1

May 21, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno

0:1

Apr 30, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras

1:1

May 8, 2025 Copa Libertadores

Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerro Porteno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Palmeiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Arias J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerro Porteno 32 / 100

Palmeiras 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cerro Porteno Palmeiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cerro Porteno scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cerro Porteno stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Palmeiras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cerro Porteno VS Palmeiras

1.38 Goals Scored 1.75

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63

63% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerro Porteno

(Home)

30 Sept

Cerro Porteno

2 : 1

Rubio Nu

26 Sept

Sportivo Trinidense

2 : 1

Cerro Porteno

19 Sept

Cerro Porteno

1 : 0

Rubio Nu

12 Sept

Guarani

1 : 1

Cerro Porteno

07 Sept

Cerro Porteno

1 : 0

Nacional Asuncion

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Palmeiras

(Away)

20 Sept

Gremio

0 : 0

Palmeiras

16 Sept

LDU Quito

3 : 3

Palmeiras

12 Sept

Palmeiras

2 : 0

Sao Paulo

09 Sept

Palmeiras

1 : 0

LDU Quito

06 Sept

Botafogo RJ

0 : 0

Palmeiras

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