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Cesar Vallejo vs AD Cantolao

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cesar Vallejo play AD Cantolao in the Liga 2. Cesar Vallejo are favorites here. Recently, Cesar Vallejo averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. AD Cantolao averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Cesar Vallejo won 4, AD Cantolao won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Cesar Vallejo and 1.25 for AD Cantolao. This points to a Cesar Vallejo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Cesar Vallejo
15%
Draws
29%
AD Cantolao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cesar Vallejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Cesar Vallejo picked up more points recently compared to AD Cantolao.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Cesar Vallejo Clean Sheet 19%
AD Cantolao Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesar Vallejo AD Cantolao
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs AD Cantolao
2:1
Jul 16, 2023 Liga 1
Cesar Vallejo vs AD Cantolao
2:1
Feb 11, 2023 Liga 1
AD Cantolao vs Cesar Vallejo
1:2
Oct 8, 2022 Liga 1
AD Cantolao vs Cesar Vallejo
0:1
May 21, 2022 Liga 1
Cesar Vallejo vs AD Cantolao
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cesar Vallejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesias Silva P. C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Catashunga J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

AD Cantolao Compare

Top Goalscorer Alessandria T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesar Vallejo 54 / 100
AD Cantolao 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesar Vallejo AD Cantolao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cesar Vallejo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Cesar Vallejo & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cesar Vallejo attacking → ← attacking AD Cantolao

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cesar Vallejo scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

AD Cantolao let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Cesar Vallejo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

AD Cantolao lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 23
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ayacucho00000:00
2Alianza Huanuco00000:00
3Sport Huancayo 200000:00
4Binacional00000:00
5Tacna Heroica00000:00
6Santos FC00000:00
7Comerciantes FC00000:00
8Estudiantil CNI00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Llacuabamba861114:319
2Union Comercio85218:217
3Pirata851213:716
4Carlos Mannucci842210:714
5U. San Martin72239:78
6ADA Jaen71425:67
7Cesar Vallejo72146:87
8AD Cantolao81169:184
9San Marcos50051:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Comerciantes FC844011:516
2Tacna Heroica83328:712
3Alianza Huanuco83239:711
4Sport Huancayo 283237:811
5Santos FC83237:811
6Ayacucho82425:510
7Estudiantil CNI82339:99
8Union Minas81523:48
9Binacional81346:126