Sport Picks
Cesena U20 vs Fiorentina U20
Italy
Primavera 1 2025/2026 Centro Sportivo Romagna Centro, Cesena 
Match Events
33'
33'
Sub
Tosku F. In: Amadori E.
Out: Tosku F.
46'
46'
Sub
Atzeni D. In: Bertolini G.
Out: Atzeni D.
57'
57'
Rossetti M.
AI Match Summary
Cesena U20 in this Primavera 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cesena U20.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
35%
16%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cesena U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cesena U20 have won more games recently than Fiorentina U20.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Cesena U20 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Cesena U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Fiorentina U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cesena U20 | Fiorentina U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 Primavera 1
Cesena U20 vs Fiorentina U20
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U20 vs Cesena U20
2:1
Mar 31, 2025 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U20 vs Cesena U20
2:2
Aug 16, 2024 Primavera 1
Cesena U20 vs Fiorentina U20
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cesena U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Rossetti M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Fiorentina U20 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cesena U20 39 / 100
Fiorentina U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cesena U20 Fiorentina U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cesena U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fiorentina U20 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Cesena U20 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Cesena U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cesena U20 VS Fiorentina U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cesena U20
(Home) 18 Sept
Albinoleffe U20
0 : 0 Cesena U20
12 Sept
Cesena U20
0 : 1 Lazio U20
06 Sept
Empoli U20
3 : 3 Cesena U20
30 Aug
Cesena U20
1 : 1 AC Milan U20
24 Aug
Verona U20
0 : 1 Cesena U20
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Cesena U20
0 : 1 Lazio U20
30 Aug
Cesena U20
1 : 1 AC Milan U20
22 May
Cesena U20
2 : 1 Inter U20
09 May
Cesena U20
0 : 1 Juventus U20
25 Apr
Cesena U20
3 : 2 Sassuolo U20
Page 1 of 3
Fiorentina U20
(Away) 19 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1 Fiorentina U20
13 Sept
Fiorentina U20
0 : 1 Empoli U20
09 Sept
Fiorentina U20
3 : 4 Atalanta U20
05 Sept
Genoa U20
3 : 3 Fiorentina U20
31 Aug
Fiorentina U20
0 : 1 Verona U20
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1 Fiorentina U20
05 Sept
Genoa U20
3 : 3 Fiorentina U20
22 Aug
Sassuolo U20
1 : 1 Fiorentina U20
19 Jul
Fiorentina
8 : 1 Fiorentina U20
16 May
Lecce U20
2 : 0 Fiorentina U20
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fiorentina U20 | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 70:48 | 68 |
| 2 | Parma U20 | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 3 | Cesena U20 | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 70:52 | 67 |
| 4 | AS Roma U20 | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 59:35 | 63 |
| 5 | Bologna U20 | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 54:40 | 62 |
| 6 | Inter U20 | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 70:61 | 59 |
| 7 | Atalanta U20 | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 54:47 | 57 |
| 8 | Juventus U20 | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 52:48 | 55 |
| 9 | Lecce U20 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54:53 | 54 |
| 10 | Genoa U20 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 11 | AC Milan U20 | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 51:49 | 49 |
| 12 | Verona U20 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55:61 | 48 |
| 13 | Torino U20 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 50:50 | 47 |
| 14 | Monza U20 | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 37:45 | 47 |
| 15 | Lazio U20 | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:51 | 47 |
| 16 | Sassuolo U20 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:58 | 44 |
| 17 | Napoli U20 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 39:55 | 40 |
| 18 | Cagliari U20 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 49:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Frosinone U20 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 47:76 | 35 |
| 20 | Cremonese U20 | 38 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 31:64 | 24 |
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Main)
