Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ceyhanspor vs Kardemir Karabuk

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Toksoz D.
38' Event
Erakcaoglu A.
48' Event
Cetinkaya D.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2021/2022 game between Ceyhanspor and Kardemir Karabuk finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kardemir Karabuk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ceyhanspor
6%
Draws
90%
Kardemir Karabuk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kardemir Karabuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ceyhanspor haven't matched Kardemir Karabuk's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kardemir Karabuk a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 100%
Over 4.5 Goals 45%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Ceyhanspor Clean Sheet 10%
Kardemir Karabuk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceyhanspor Kardemir Karabuk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 0 1
Draws 3 1
Losses 27 28
Goals Scored 0.38 0.13
Goals Conceded 6.13 5.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.13 5.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 3. Lig Group 3
Ceyhanspor vs Kardemir Karabuk
1:3
Dec 12, 2021 3. Lig Group 3
Kardemir Karabuk vs Ceyhanspor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceyhanspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Nas Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Kardemir Karabuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Toksoz D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erakcaoglu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceyhanspor 10 / 100
Kardemir Karabuk 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceyhanspor Kardemir Karabuk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kardemir Karabuk has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Kardemir Karabuk has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ceyhanspor scored in 27% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Ceyhanspor VS Kardemir Karabuk
0.38 Goals Scored 0.13
6.13 Goals Conceded 5.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erokspor34237484:2676
2Fethiyespor34206864:3466
3Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu341715242:1866
4Orduspor 196734197866:3364
5Ofspor34179865:4360
6Guzide Gebzespor341415551:2857
7Kirikkale FK34169951:2957
8Karsiyaka341116755:3449
9Edirnespor Genclik341391250:3648
10Tepecik3411111249:4244
11Karakopru3410141046:3944
12Agri 1970341261639:4342
13Gumushanespor349141139:3641
14Cankaya FK341181537:4441
15Mardin 1969349101542:4237
16Modafenspor347111637:5032
17Kardemir Karabuk34113211:1264
18Ceyhanspor34043012:1374