Sport Picks

USA

MLS Saputo Stadium, Montreal, QC

CF Montreal

2 - 2

Portland Timbers

Our Tip

Match Events

Sub

Caicedo J. In: Chara D.

Out: Caicedo J.

11'

Rios D.

Assist: Longstaff M.

21'

Kelsy K.

Assist: Velde K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

CF Montreal

39%

Draws

31%

Portland Timbers

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to CF Montreal lately — more wins on the board than Portland Timbers.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

CF Montreal Clean Sheet 11%

Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CF Montreal	Portland Timbers
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	10	8
Draws	4	6
Losses	14	14
Goals Scored	2.25	2
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 MLS

CF Montreal vs Portland Timbers

2:2

Oct 7, 2023 MLS

CF Montreal vs Portland Timbers

4:1

Jun 26, 2019 MLS

CF Montreal vs Portland Timbers

2:1

Jul 22, 2018 MLS

Portland Timbers vs CF Montreal

2:2

May 20, 2017 MLS

CF Montreal vs Portland Timbers

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Montreal Compare

Top Goalscorer Rios D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Carmona W.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Portland Timbers Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelsy K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bassett C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Montreal 29 / 100

Portland Timbers 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CF Montreal Portland Timbers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CFM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Timbers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: CF Montreal scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: CF Montreal stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Montreal VS Portland Timbers

2.25 Goals Scored 2

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Montreal

(Home)

23 Jul

Nashville SC

1 : 0

CF Montreal

16 Jul

CF Montreal

0 : 0

Toronto FC

12 Jul

CF Montreal

2 : 1

Vancouver FC

09 Jul

Vancouver FC

1 : 2

CF Montreal

23 May

DC United

4 : 4

CF Montreal

Page 1 of 6

Portland Timbers

(Away)

23 Jul

Portland Timbers

2 : 2

FC Dallas

17 Jul

Seattle Sounders

1 : 5

Portland Timbers

24 May

Portland Timbers

1 : 3

San Jose Earthquakes

17 May

Inter Miami

2 : 0

Portland Timbers

13 May

CF Montreal

2 : 2

Portland Timbers

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	15	10	2	3	37:16	32
2	San Jose Earthquakes	16	10	2	4	34:19	32
3	Los Angeles FC	17	9	3	5	30:18	30
4	Real Salt Lake	15	8	2	5	27:22	26
5	FC Dallas	16	7	5	4	32:24	26
6	Seattle Sounders	15	7	3	5	19:19	24
7	Houston Dynamo	15	7	2	6	20:24	23
8	St. Louis City	16	6	4	6	22:23	22
9	Minnesota United	16	6	4	6	19:24	22
10	Los Angeles Galaxy	17	5	5	7	23:28	20
11	Colorado Rapids	16	6	1	9	26:24	19
12	Portland Timbers	16	5	3	8	29:31	18
13	San Diego FC	16	4	5	7	30:28	17
14	Austin FC	16	4	5	7	22:32	17
15	Sporting Kansas City	16	4	2	10	18:40	14

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League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	16	12	3	1	33:11	39
2	Inter Miami	16	10	4	2	42:30	34
3	Chicago Fire	15	8	2	5	29:19	26
4	New England Revolution	15	8	2	5	22:18	26
5	Charlotte FC	17	7	4	6	28:25	25
6	FC Cincinnati	16	6	5	5	40:40	23
7	New York City	16	6	4	6	27:22	22
8	New York Red Bulls	17	6	4	7	26:37	22
9	DC United	16	4	7	5	22:26	19
10	Orlando City	16	5	2	9	27:44	17
11	Columbus Crew	16	4	4	8	22:25	16
12	Toronto FC	16	3	7	6	22:29	16
13	CF Montreal	16	4	3	9	22:32	15
14	Atlanta United	16	3	3	10	16:26	12
15	Philadelphia Union	16	2	4	10	21:31	10

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