Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CF Os Belenenses vs Vitoria Guimaraes B

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Estádio do Restelo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CF Os Belenenses play Vitoria Guimaraes B in the Liga 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, CF Os Belenenses averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Vitoria Guimaraes B averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, CF Os Belenenses won 0, Vitoria Guimaraes B won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for CF Os Belenenses and 1.00 for Vitoria Guimaraes B. This points to a CF Os Belenenses double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
CF Os Belenenses
11%
Draws
9%
Vitoria Guimaraes B
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: CF Os Belenenses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • CF Os Belenenses has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vitoria Guimaraes B.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for CF Os Belenenses.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga 3 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Guimaraes B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Os Belenenses Vitoria Guimaraes B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Liga 3
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs CF Os Belenenses
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Os Belenenses 76 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Os Belenenses Vitoria Guimaraes B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Os Belenenses scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Vitoria Guimaraes B let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CF Os Belenenses went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vitoria Guimaraes B lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Os Belenenses VS Vitoria Guimaraes B
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Amarante FC1494122:1131
2Academica1484223:1328
3CF Os Belenenses1475225:1626
4Mafra1452717:2417
5Vitoria Guimaraes B1445516:1717
6Varzim1442813:1914
7Santarem1424813:2010
8Trofense142487:1610