Sport Picks
CF Talavera vs Ourense CF
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina 
Match Events
6'
6'
Castillo N.
36'
36'
Prado M.
44'
44'
Perez A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between CF Talavera and Ourense CF finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CF Talavera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and CF Talavera come out ahead of Ourense CF on wins alone.
- Win probability leans CF Talavera's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
CF Talavera Clean Sheet 68%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CF Talavera | Ourense CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
CF Talavera vs Ourense CF
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs CF Talavera
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CF Talavera 50 / 100
Ourense CF 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CF Talavera Ourense CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CFT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CF Talavera scored in 66% of their last 32 games.
Ourense CF has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
CF Talavera has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
CF Talavera VS Ourense CF
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
CF Talavera
(Home) 23 May
Cacereno
1 : 2 CF Talavera
17 May
CF Talavera
0 : 0 Ourense CF
10 May
Osasuna B
2 : 1 CF Talavera
02 May
CF Talavera
2 : 1 Arenas Getxo
25 Apr
CF Talavera
1 : 2 Real Madrid B
Page 1 of 7
17 May
CF Talavera
0 : 0 Ourense CF
02 May
CF Talavera
2 : 1 Arenas Getxo
25 Apr
CF Talavera
1 : 2 Real Madrid B
12 Apr
CF Talavera
0 : 1 Zamora
28 Mar
CF Talavera
0 : 0 Tenerife
Page 1 of 4
Ourense CF
(Away) 23 May
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Tenerife
17 May
CF Talavera
0 : 0 Ourense CF
10 May
Ourense CF
2 : 4 Celta Vigo B
03 May
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2 Ourense CF
26 Apr
Ourense CF
1 : 2 Zamora
Page 1 of 6
17 May
CF Talavera
0 : 0 Ourense CF
03 May
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2 Ourense CF
14 Apr
Real Madrid B
1 : 1 Ourense CF
05 Apr
Real Aviles
2 : 1 Ourense CF
21 Mar
Pontevedra
0 : 0 Ourense CF
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 62:24 | 76 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61:48 | 65 |
| 3 | Zamora | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 4 | Ponferradina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 43:33 | 60 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 61:52 | 58 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49:31 | 58 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 51:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53:49 | 56 |
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:40 | 53 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47:53 | 52 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41:47 | 49 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 49 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55:67 | 44 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 42:49 | 44 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 44:47 | 43 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:58 | 41 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 28:42 | 40 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 29:53 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)