Sport Picks
CF Talavera vs Ourense CF
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina 
Match Events
6'
6'
Castillo N.
36'
36'
Prado M.
44'
44'
Perez A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between CF Talavera and Ourense CF finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ourense CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Ourense CF's 1.1 goals per match outpaces what CF Talavera have produced (0.93).
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CF Talavera Clean Sheet 18%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CF Talavera | Ourense CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
CF Talavera vs Ourense CF
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs CF Talavera
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CF Talavera 32 / 100
Ourense CF 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CF Talavera Ourense CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ourense CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ourense CF let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Ourense CF lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: CF Talavera scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
CF Talavera VS Ourense CF
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CF Talavera
(Home) 20 Sept
Getafe B
1 : 1 CF Talavera
13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0 Real Madrid C
09 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 2 Navalcarnero
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 CF Talavera
19 Aug
CF Talavera
0 : 1 Getafe B
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0 Real Madrid C
09 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 2 Navalcarnero
19 Aug
CF Talavera
0 : 1 Getafe B
17 May
CF Talavera
0 : 0 Ourense CF
02 May
CF Talavera
2 : 1 Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 3
Ourense CF
(Away) 19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2 Eibar B
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2 Ourense CF
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Basconia
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2 Ourense CF
21 Aug
Lugo
1 : 0 Ourense CF
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2 Ourense CF
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2 Ourense CF
21 Aug
Lugo
1 : 0 Ourense CF
15 Aug
Pontevedra
2 : 1 Ourense CF
17 May
CF Talavera
0 : 0 Ourense CF
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 62:24 | 76 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61:48 | 65 |
| 3 | Zamora | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 4 | Ponferradina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 43:33 | 60 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 61:52 | 58 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49:31 | 58 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 51:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53:49 | 56 |
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:40 | 53 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47:53 | 52 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41:47 | 49 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 49 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55:67 | 44 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 42:49 | 44 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 44:47 | 43 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:58 | 41 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 28:42 | 40 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 29:53 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
