Sport Picks
CF Trujillo vs Santa Amalia
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 
Match Events
51'
51'
Martinez J.
(Penalty)
78'
78'
Fernandez A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 game between CF Trujillo and Santa Amalia finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Amalia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Santa Amalia come out ahead of CF Trujillo on wins alone.
- Santa Amalia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CF Trujillo Clean Sheet 21%
Santa Amalia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CF Trujillo | Santa Amalia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Santa Amalia
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs CF Trujillo
1:1
Aug 15, 2023 Club Friendly
CF Trujillo vs Santa Amalia
2:0
Feb 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs CF Trujillo
4:1
Sep 24, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Santa Amalia
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CF Trujillo Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9
Santa Amalia Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CF Trujillo 24 / 100
Santa Amalia 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CF Trujillo Santa Amalia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santa Amalia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Amalia let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
CF Trujillo scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
CF Trujillo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Santa Amalia
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
CF Trujillo
(Home) 23 Aug
CD Diocesano
2 : 1 CF Trujillo
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4 CD Azuaga
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2 CF Trujillo
30 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0 CF Trujillo
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1 CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4 CD Azuaga
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1 CD Badajoz
20 Apr
CF Trujillo
2 : 3 Pueblonuevo
06 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 4 CD Extremadura
23 Mar
CF Trujillo
0 : 0 Arroyo
Page 1 of 3
Santa Amalia
(Away) 20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
Santa Amalia
3 : 0 Quintana
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1 Santa Amalia
03 May
Santa Amalia
0 : 2 Moralo
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1 Santa Amalia
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
12 Apr
Don Benito
1 : 0 Santa Amalia
04 Apr
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Santa Amalia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 73:22 | 75 |
| 2 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 65:28 | 71 |
| 3 | Jaraiz | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 65:40 | 69 |
| 4 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 5 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:20 | 63 |
| 6 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 58:38 | 58 |
| 7 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 31:31 | 54 |
| 8 | Jerez CF | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 50:48 | 51 |
| 9 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 55:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Moralo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 52:50 | 46 |
| 11 | Montijo | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 35:34 | 45 |
| 12 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42:71 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 14 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 35:56 | 32 |
| 15 | Castuera | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 46:64 | 29 |
| 16 | CF Trujillo | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 32:63 | 28 |
| 17 | Arroyo | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 32:70 | 22 |
| 18 | Olivenza FC | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 26:79 | 17 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
