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Cha Choeng Sao vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC

Thailand Thailand

Thai FA Cup
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Match Events

5' Event
Phimpsang C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Nakhon Ratchasima FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cha Choeng Sao
40%
Draws
29%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nakhon Ratchasima FC come out ahead of Cha Choeng Sao on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Nakhon Ratchasima FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nakhon Ratchasima FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Cha Choeng Sao Clean Sheet 20%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cha Choeng Sao Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Matches Played 2 30
Wins 0 7
Draws 0 4
Losses 2 19
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Cha Choeng Sao vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cha Choeng Sao Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Nakhon Ratchasima FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Phimpsang C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cha Choeng Sao 32 / 100
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cha Choeng Sao Nakhon Ratchasima FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nakhon Ratchasima FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Nakhon Ratchasima FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Cha Choeng Sao found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (2 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cha Choeng Sao

(Home)
29 Oct
Cha Choeng Sao
0 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
29 Jan
Khonkaen FC
3 : 1
Cha Choeng Sao

Nakhon Ratchasima FC

(Away)
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Sukhothai
25 Apr
Pathum United
1 : 0
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
18 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
11 Apr
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Phichit United1
Udon Thani City0
Chiangrai Utd19
Sing Pathumthani0
Prime Bangkok1
Khonkaen FC0
Royal Thai Fleet FC1
FC ACDC0
Uthai Thani3
Kasem Bundit0
Chiangmai United2
Prachuap6
Pathum United4
Kamphaeng Phet0
Surin Sugar2
Ubonkids City9
Muang Thong Utd10
Romklao United0
Surat Thani City1
Lamphun Warrior4
Sukhothai3
Yala1
Thonburi Forest0
Nong Bua Pitchaya7
Burapha United0
Port MTI FC4
Bangkok Utd7
Samut Sakhon City0
Kanchanaburi4
Nara United0
Chonburi1
Police Tero2
Customs Utd3
Nonthaburi United0
Buriram United F.C.12
Warin Chamrap0
See Khwae City0
Pattani1
Cha Choeng Sao0
Nakhon Ratchasima FC1
Samui United2
Sa-Kaeo Ban Kaeng0
Nong Khai FC0
Khonkaen United5
Bankhai United5
Nakhon Nayok0
Kasetsart1
Nakhon Pathom2
Ayutthaya United1
Udon United0
Roi Et 20182
Samut Songkhram City0
Siwilai0
Uttaradit FC2
Pattaya City1
Chiangmai FC0
Marines FC0
Sisaket United3
Mahasarakham1
Rayong FC4
Muangnont0
Phitsanulok1
Lopburi City2
Ratchaburi3
1/16-finals
Phichit United2
Chiangrai Utd3
Prime Bangkok3
Royal Thai Fleet FC2
Uthai Thani0
Prachuap1
Pathum United10
Ubonkids City0
Muang Thong Utd0
Lamphun Warrior1
Sukhothai3
Nong Bua Pitchaya0
Port MTI FC0
Bangkok Utd3
Kanchanaburi1
Police Tero0
Customs Utd1
Buriram United F.C.5
Pattani2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0
Samui United1
Khonkaen United3
Bankhai United1
Nakhon Pathom3
Ayutthaya United6
Roi Et 20180
Uttaradit FC1
Pattaya City0
Sisaket United1
Rayong FC0
Phitsanulok1
Ratchaburi2
1/8-finals
Chiangrai Utd3
Prime Bangkok2
Prachuap1
Pathum United0
Lamphun Warrior2
Sukhothai0
Bangkok Utd3
Kanchanaburi1
Buriram United F.C.4
Pattani0
Khonkaen United2
Nakhon Pathom0
Ayutthaya United3
Uttaradit FC0
Sisaket United1
Ratchaburi3
Quarter-finals
Chiangrai Utd0
Prachuap1
Lamphun Warrior2
Bangkok Utd1
Buriram United F.C.6
Khonkaen United0
Ayutthaya United1
Ratchaburi0
Semi-finals
Prachuap1
Lamphun Warrior0
Buriram United F.C.5
Ayutthaya United0
Final
Prachuap0
Buriram United F.C.1