Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chacarita Juniors vs Gimnasia Jujuy

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Casa M.
9'
Perez T.
12' Event
Melendez M.
Assist: Sanabria M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Chacarita Juniors and Gimnasia Jujuy finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chacarita Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chacarita Juniors
44%
Draws
20%
Gimnasia Jujuy
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gimnasia Jujuy come out ahead of Chacarita Juniors on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Chacarita Juniors Clean Sheet 18%
Gimnasia Jujuy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chacarita Juniors Gimnasia Jujuy
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Chacarita Juniors
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3:1
Oct 5, 2025 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Chacarita Juniors
2:0
Jun 1, 2025 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Gimnasia Jujuy
0:1
Oct 27, 2024 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Gimnasia Jujuy
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chacarita Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Melendez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barbieri J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Gimnasia Jujuy Compare

Top Goalscorer Arganaraz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chacarita Juniors 36 / 100
Gimnasia Jujuy 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chacarita Juniors Gimnasia Jujuy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia Jujuy has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Chacarita Juniors went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Chacarita Juniors scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chacarita Juniors VS Gimnasia Jujuy
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chacarita Juniors

(Home)
25 Jul
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
12 Jul
Gimnasia Jujuy
1 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
05 Jul
San Martin S.J.
0 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
21 Jun
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
13 Jun
Nueva Chicago
2 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
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Gimnasia Jujuy

(Away)
26 Jul
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1
Club Atletico Guemes
12 Jul
Gimnasia Jujuy
1 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
05 Jul
Midland
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
21 Jun
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia Jujuy
17 Jun
Gimnasia Jujuy
4 : 0
Nueva Chicago
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro22134525:1843
2Deportivo Moron21115533:1938
3Colon Santa Fe2298527:1835
4Ciudad Bolivar22810421:1734
5Los Andes2189419:833
6Almirante Brown2288615:1332
7Godoy Cruz2187622:1831
8CA Estudiantes2287719:1831
9Deportivo Madryn2179527:2230
10Racing Cordoba2276922:2627
11San Miguel21511517:2126
12Defensores de Belgrano2159714:1824
13All Boys22411713:2023
14CA Mitre22410820:2722
15San Telmo2148917:2320
16Acassuso21551115:2320
17Chaco For Ever21471018:2619
18Central Norte21471013:2319
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy21125434:2341
2Temperley22910323:1837
3Atletico Atlanta21113726:1836
4Tristan Suarez2199318:1136
5Midland2196622:1533
6San Martin T.2279620:1730
7Atl. Rafaela2286816:1830
8Deportivo Maipu2285927:2229
9Gimnasia y Tiro2177720:2128
10Almagro2184919:2328
11San Martin S.J.2075821:2126
12Colegiales2175919:2026
13Nueva Chicago2168718:1926
14Quilmes2166918:1724
15Chacarita Juniors21651016:2223
16Agropecuario2258917:2623
17Patronato21410713:1822
18Club Atletico Guemes21541219:3619
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)