Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, Buenos Aires

Chacarita Juniors

2 - 0

Gimnasia y Tiro

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Pantaleone N.

Assist: Cuello A.

24'

Cuello A.

37'

Facello F.

Assist: Calderara B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chacarita Juniors in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chacarita Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Chacarita Juniors

30%

Draws

34%

Gimnasia y Tiro

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chacarita Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Gimnasia y Tiro have won more games recently than Chacarita Juniors.
Chacarita Juniors are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 17%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Chacarita Juniors Clean Sheet 20%

Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chacarita Juniors	Gimnasia y Tiro
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	6	9
Draws	9	9
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	0.63	0.75
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Primera Nacional

Chacarita Juniors vs Gimnasia y Tiro

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chacarita Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Pantaleone N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Facello F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Gimnasia y Tiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chacarita Juniors 36 / 100

Gimnasia y Tiro 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chacarita Juniors Gimnasia y Tiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia y Tiro let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Chacarita Juniors has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chacarita Juniors found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Chacarita Juniors VS Gimnasia y Tiro

0.63 Goals Scored 0.75

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63

38% Over 1.5 50%

13% Over 2.5 13%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chacarita Juniors

(Home)

25 Jul

Tristan Suarez

1 : 0

Chacarita Juniors

12 Jul

Gimnasia Jujuy

1 : 1

Chacarita Juniors

05 Jul

San Martin S.J.

0 : 1

Chacarita Juniors

21 Jun

Chacarita Juniors

0 : 0

Tristan Suarez

13 Jun

Nueva Chicago

2 : 0

Chacarita Juniors

Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia y Tiro

(Away)

12 Jul

Gimnasia y Tiro

1 : 1

Patronato

04 Jul

Colegiales

1 : 2

Gimnasia y Tiro

21 Jun

Deportivo Maipu

0 : 0

Gimnasia y Tiro

13 Jun

Quilmes

1 : 0

Gimnasia y Tiro

06 Jun

Gimnasia y Tiro

1 : 0

Midland

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	21	13	4	4	25:14	43
2	Deportivo Moron	20	10	5	5	29:19	35
3	Colon Santa Fe	21	9	8	4	27:17	35
4	Ciudad Bolivar	22	8	10	4	21:17	34
5	Los Andes	20	8	8	4	19:8	32
6	Almirante Brown	21	8	7	6	15:13	31
7	CA Estudiantes	22	8	7	7	19:18	31
8	Deportivo Madryn	20	7	8	5	27:22	29
9	Godoy Cruz	20	7	7	6	20:17	28
10	San Miguel	20	5	10	5	17:21	25
11	Racing Cordoba	21	6	6	9	20:25	24
12	Defensores de Belgrano	20	5	8	7	14:18	23
13	All Boys	21	4	10	7	13:20	22
14	CA Mitre	21	4	9	8	20:27	21
15	San Telmo	20	4	8	8	16:21	20
16	Acassuso	20	5	4	11	15:23	19
17	Central Norte	20	4	7	9	12:21	19
18	Chaco For Ever	20	3	7	10	17:26	16

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	20	11	5	4	32:22	38
2	Temperley	22	9	10	3	23:18	37
3	Atletico Atlanta	20	11	3	6	25:15	36
4	Tristan Suarez	21	9	9	3	18:11	36
5	Midland	20	8	6	6	21:15	30
6	San Martin T.	22	7	9	6	20:17	30
7	Atl. Rafaela	22	8	6	8	16:18	30
8	Deportivo Maipu	21	8	5	8	27:21	29
9	San Martin S.J.	19	7	5	7	20:19	26
10	Nueva Chicago	21	6	8	7	18:19	26
11	Gimnasia y Tiro	20	6	7	7	19:21	25
12	Almagro	20	7	4	9	16:22	25
13	Quilmes	20	6	6	8	18:16	24
14	Colegiales	20	6	5	9	18:20	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	21	6	5	10	16:22	23
16	Patronato	20	4	10	6	13:17	22
17	Agropecuario	21	4	8	9	15:25	20
18	Club Atletico Guemes	20	5	4	11	18:34	19

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)