Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chacaritas vs Atletico Vinotinto

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2025 Estadio Ciudad de Pelileo, Pelileo
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Valencia K.
11' Event
Bolano J.
70' Event
Avila F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Chacaritas
6%
Draws
90%
Atletico Vinotinto
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico Vinotinto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico Vinotinto have won more games recently than Chacaritas.
  • Atletico Vinotinto are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Atletico Vinotinto have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Chacaritas Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Vinotinto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chacaritas Atletico Vinotinto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 11 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2025 Serie B
Atletico Vinotinto vs Chacaritas
4:0
Sep 18, 2025 Serie B
Chacaritas vs Atletico Vinotinto
2:2
Jul 10, 2025 Serie B
Chacaritas vs Atletico Vinotinto
1:2
May 1, 2025 Serie B
Atletico Vinotinto vs Chacaritas
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chacaritas Compare

Top Goalscorer Valencia K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corozo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Atletico Vinotinto Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolano J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Avila F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chacaritas 10 / 100
Atletico Vinotinto 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chacaritas Atletico Vinotinto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Atletico Vinotinto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Chacaritas's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Chacaritas stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chacaritas VS Atletico Vinotinto
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chacaritas

(Home)
30 Oct
Imbabura
3 : 1
Chacaritas
22 Oct
Chacaritas
0 : 1
Vargas Torres
16 Oct
Atletico Vinotinto
4 : 0
Chacaritas
12 Oct
Cumbaya
0 : 0
Chacaritas
08 Oct
Chacaritas
0 : 1
22 de Julio
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Atletico Vinotinto

(Away)
30 Oct
Atletico Vinotinto
3 : 0
22 de Julio
22 Oct
Cumbaya
0 : 0
Atletico Vinotinto
16 Oct
Atletico Vinotinto
4 : 0
Chacaritas
12 Oct
Atletico Vinotinto
1 : 1
Imbabura
09 Oct
Vargas Torres
0 : 0
Atletico Vinotinto
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