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Cham vs Karlburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Medineli E.
35' Event
Chrubasik L.

AI Match Summary

Cham in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Cham
20%
Draws
6%
Karlburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Karlburg haven't matched Cham's recent run of results.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Cham taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cham Clean Sheet 20%
Karlburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cham Karlburg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 3
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 2 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs Karlburg
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Karlburg vs Cham
2:1
Apr 18, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Karlburg vs Cham
1:6
Aug 7, 2021 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs Karlburg
0:1
May 9, 2020 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs Karlburg
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cham Compare

Top Goalscorer Medineli E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chrubasik L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Karlburg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cham 85 / 100
Karlburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cham Karlburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cham scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Karlburg let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Cham remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cham VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cham

(Home)
18 Sept
Cham
3 : 0
Neudrossenfeld
13 Sept
Ingolstadt II
2 : 2
Cham
05 Sept
Cham
4 : 1
Nordlingen
29 Aug
Wurzburger FV
2 : 3
Cham
21 Aug
Cham
4 : 1
Aschaffenburg
Page 1 of 6

Karlburg

(Away)
17 May
Karlburg
0 : 4
Weiden
09 May
TSV Kornburg
6 : 1
Karlburg
02 May
Abtswind
4 : 1
Karlburg
25 Apr
Karlburg
0 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
19 Apr
Cham
2 : 0
Karlburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vfb Eichstatt 34 23 5 6 74:33 74
2 Eltersdorf 34 21 10 3 56:24 73
3 Ingolstadt II 34 20 6 8 70:46 66
4 ATSV Erlangen 34 18 8 8 52:36 62
5 Cham 34 15 10 9 60:43 55
6 Fortuna Regensburg 34 15 8 11 84:58 53
7 Weiden 34 14 8 12 47:40 50
8 TSV Kornburg 34 13 8 13 58:53 47
9 Neudrossenfeld 34 12 10 12 49:57 46
10 Wurzburger FV 34 12 10 12 50:58 46
11 Bayern Hof 34 11 10 13 43:40 43
12 ASV Neumarkt 34 13 4 17 39:49 43
13 Regensburg II 34 10 11 13 48:51 41
14 Abtswind 34 10 10 14 46:51 40
15 DJK Ammerthal 34 9 8 17 43:51 35
16 Gebenbach 34 8 11 15 52:71 35
17 Munchberg 34 5 5 24 30:83 20
18 Karlburg 34 3 6 25 30:87 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)