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Changchun Dazhong W vs Zhejiang W

China China

Super League Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Changchun Dazhong W play Zhejiang W in the Super League Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Changchun Dazhong W averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Zhejiang W averaged 0.96 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. In past meetings, Changchun Dazhong W won 4, Zhejiang W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 20, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Changchun Dazhong W and 0.81 for Zhejiang W. This points to a Changchun Dazhong W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Changchun Dazhong W
26%
Draws
29%
Zhejiang W
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Changchun Dazhong W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Changchun Dazhong W picked up more points recently compared to Zhejiang W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Changchun Dazhong W Clean Sheet 26%
Zhejiang W Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changchun Dazhong W Zhejiang W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.07 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Super League Women
Changchun Dazhong W vs Zhejiang W
3:1
Mar 9, 2025 Super League Women
Zhejiang W vs Changchun Dazhong W
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Super League Women
Changchun Dazhong W vs Zhejiang W
3:0
Jun 21, 2024 Super League Women
Zhejiang W vs Changchun Dazhong W
1:1
Sep 3, 2023 Super League Women
Zhejiang W vs Changchun Dazhong W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changchun Dazhong W Compare

Top Goalscorer Niyonkuru S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mana L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Zhejiang W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhijie
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changchun Dazhong W 46 / 100
Zhejiang W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changchun Dazhong W Zhejiang W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Changchun Dazhong W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Changchun Dazhong W attacking → ← attacking Zhejiang W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Changchun Dazhong W scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Zhejiang W let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Changchun Dazhong W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Zhejiang W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 30
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Beijing Beikong W22125533:1841
2Liaoning W22117430:1740
3Jiangsu Suning W22117430:2040
4Shanghai RCB W22812233:1736
5Wuhan Jiangda W22113832:3136
6Shandong Sports Lottery W22105732:2535
7Changchun Dazhong W2297628:2234
8Guangdong Meizhou W2285929:2929
9Zhejiang W2267926:3325
10Shaanxi Changan W22371217:3416
11Yongchuan Chashan W22361314:3415
12Henan Songshan Longmen W22171418:4210