Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Matogrossense game between Chapada and Várzea Grande EC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chapada.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Chapada carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Matogrossense form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Chapada have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chapada | Várzea Grande EC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chapada Compare
Várzea Grande EC Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Várzea Grande EC has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.
Chapada scored in 72% of their last 18 games.
Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.
Away concern: Várzea Grande EC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Chapada
(Home)Várzea Grande EC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luverdense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7:3 | 17 |
| 2 | Mixto | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Operario VG | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Sport Sinop | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6:4 | 13 |
| 5 | Cuiaba | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Nova Mutum EC | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Chapada | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Primavera AC | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 6:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Várzea Grande EC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:14 | 5 |
