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Chapadao vs Uniao ABC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022
Chapadao Logo

Chapadao

1 - 0
FT
Uniao ABC Logo

Uniao ABC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chapadao in this Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chapadao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Chapadao
35%
Draws
30%
Uniao ABC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Uniao ABC haven't matched Chapadao's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chapadao have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Chapadao Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao ABC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapadao Uniao ABC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.39 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Uniao ABC vs Chapadao
1:3
Feb 13, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Uniao ABC
1:0
Apr 18, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Uniao ABC
4:2
Mar 30, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Uniao ABC vs Chapadao
2:0
Feb 2, 2019 Sul-Matogrossense
Uniao ABC vs Chapadao
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapadao 32 / 100
Uniao ABC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapadao Uniao ABC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapadao scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Uniao ABC has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Chapadao went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chapadao VS Uniao ABC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.86
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapadao

(Home)
02 Apr
Ivinhema
2 : 4
Chapadao
26 Mar
Chapadao
0 : 3
Ivinhema
12 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Chapadao
05 Mar
Chapadao
1 : 1
Coxim
03 Mar
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Chapadao
Page 1 of 7

Uniao ABC

(Away)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
25 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
7 de Setembro
18 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
Misto
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
04 Jul
Uniao ABC
3 : 0
EC Campo Grande
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 8 7 0 1 16:4 21
2 Chapadao 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
3 Operario MS 8 3 3 2 13:7 12
4 Comercial MS 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
5 Uniao ABC 8 1 0 7 3:19 3
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquidauanense 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
2 Dourados 8 3 4 1 6:4 13
3 Naviraiense 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Coxim 8 3 1 4 11:19 10
5 Aguia Negra 8 1 3 4 8:10 6
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022 (Second stage)