Sport Picks

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Chapelton vs Cavalier

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Ricketts O.
Own Goal
29' Event
Wright C.
38' Event
Henry A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Chapelton and Cavalier finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cavalier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Chapelton
17%
Draws
70%
Cavalier
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Cavalier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Cavalier carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cavalier are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Cavalier have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Chapelton Clean Sheet 10%
Cavalier Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapelton Cavalier
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.29 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.29 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Chapelton vs Cavalier
1:4
Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Chapelton
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Cavalier
0:3
Apr 21, 2025 Premier League
Cavalier vs Chapelton
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Cavalier
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapelton Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Cavalier Compare

Top Goalscorer Henry A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reid A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapelton 14 / 100
Cavalier 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapelton Cavalier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cavalier conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Chapelton scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Chapelton stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chapelton VS Cavalier
2 Goals Scored 1.88
3.29 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapelton

(Home)
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
26 Apr
Chapelton
6 : 2
Spanish Town Police
24 Apr
Mount Pleasant
5 : 2
Chapelton
19 Apr
Chapelton
0 : 2
Portmore
Page 1 of 6

Cavalier

(Away)
25 May
Cavalier
2 : 3
Portmore
21 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Cavalier
17 May
Cavalier
0 : 1
Montego Bay
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2
Cavalier
11 May
Cavalier
2 : 2
Waterhouse
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mount Pleasant392014569:2574
2Montego Bay392181079:4571
3Portmore391715754:3566
4Waterhouse391981251:3265
5Cavalier391941657:4161
6Racing United391418753:3460
7Arnett Gardens391771568:4658
8Chapelton391471842:5749
9FC Dunbeholden391391740:5348
10Tivoli3911111737:5844
11Treasure Beach3910131643:5943
12Molynes United399151545:4742
13Harbour View399121853:7339
14Spanish Town Police39752725:11126
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)