Sport Picks

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Chapelton vs Cavalier

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Ricketts O.
Own Goal
29' Event
Wright C.
38' Event
Henry A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Chapelton and Cavalier finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cavalier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Chapelton
20%
Draws
36%
Cavalier
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chapelton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Cavalier carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cavalier are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Cavalier have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Chapelton Clean Sheet 10%
Cavalier Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapelton Cavalier
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Chapelton vs Cavalier
1:4
Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Chapelton
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Cavalier
0:3
Apr 21, 2025 Premier League
Cavalier vs Chapelton
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Cavalier
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapelton Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cavalier Compare

Top Goalscorer Henry A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reid A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapelton 22 / 100
Cavalier 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapelton Cavalier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalier Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Chapelton's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cavalier let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Chapelton stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chapelton VS Cavalier
2 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapelton

(Home)
20 Sept
Chapelton
2 : 1
Molynes United
13 Sept
Montego Bay
2 : 0
Chapelton
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
26 Apr
Chapelton
6 : 2
Spanish Town Police
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Cavalier

(Away)
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
13 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
1 : 2
Cavalier
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2
Portmore
21 Aug
Cavalier
0 : 0
Salcedo
06 Aug
Cibao
0 : 0
Cavalier
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)