Sport Picks

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Chapelton vs Portmore

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ricketts O.
Own Goal
87' Event
Robinson R.

AI Match Summary

Portmore in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portmore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Chapelton
15%
Draws
64%
Portmore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portmore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portmore lately — more wins on the board than Chapelton.
  • Portmore are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Chapelton Clean Sheet 10%
Portmore Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapelton Portmore
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 13
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 3.29 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.29 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Chapelton vs Portmore
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Portmore vs Chapelton
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Portmore
3:2
Mar 23, 2025 Premier League
Portmore vs Chapelton
0:1
Jan 22, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Portmore
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapelton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Portmore Compare

Top Goalscorer Robinson R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapelton 10 / 100
Portmore 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapelton Portmore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portmore let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Chapelton found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Chapelton has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chapelton VS Portmore
2 Goals Scored 1.38
3.29 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
86% Over 2.5 38%
57% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapelton

(Home)
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
26 Apr
Chapelton
6 : 2
Spanish Town Police
24 Apr
Mount Pleasant
5 : 2
Chapelton
19 Apr
Chapelton
0 : 2
Portmore
Page 1 of 6

Portmore

(Away)
04 Aug
Portmore
1 : 2
Salcedo
25 May
Cavalier
2 : 3
Portmore
20 May
Mount Pleasant
2 : 4
Portmore
18 May
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
14 May
Portmore
2 : 0
Racing United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)