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Charleroi vs Antwerp

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
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Match Events

30' Event
Bernier A.
Assist: Nzita M.
43'
Boukamir A.
54'
Adekami F.

AI Match Summary

Charleroi in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charleroi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Charleroi
39%
Draws
30%
Antwerp
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Charleroi lately — more wins on the board than Antwerp.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Charleroi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 24%
Antwerp Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charleroi Antwerp
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Charleroi
0:1
Apr 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Antwerp
2:1
Jan 25, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Charleroi
0:2
Aug 17, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Antwerp
1:1
May 29, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Charleroi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernier A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pflucke P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Antwerp Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charleroi 33 / 100
Antwerp 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charleroi Antwerp

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charleroi found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Antwerp has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Charleroi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Charleroi VS Antwerp
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Charleroi

(Home)
25 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
Lens
2 : 2
Charleroi
17 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1
Charleroi
11 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 2
Reims
23 May
St. Liege
0 : 2
Charleroi
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Antwerp

(Away)
25 Jul
Antwerp
1 : 1
Lierse SK
24 Jul
Antwerp
3 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
19 Jul
Hasselt
0 : 2
Antwerp
11 Jul
Bochum
1 : 0
Antwerp
04 Jul
PSV
1 : 1
Antwerp
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Genk1045111:638
8St. Liege1052317:1137
9Charleroi1052312:834
10Westerlo1041514:1733
11Antwerp1041512:1631
12Leuven101369:1723
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)