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Charleroi vs Antwerp

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Bernier A.
Assist: Nzita M.
43'
Boukamir A.
54'
Adekami F.

AI Match Summary

Charleroi in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charleroi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Charleroi
15%
Draws
21%
Antwerp
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Charleroi lately — more wins on the board than Antwerp.
  • Win probability leans Charleroi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Charleroi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 68%
Antwerp Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charleroi Antwerp
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.53 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Charleroi
0:1
Apr 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Antwerp
2:1
Jan 25, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Charleroi
0:2
Aug 17, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Antwerp
1:1
May 29, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Charleroi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernier A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pflucke P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Antwerp Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charleroi 95 / 100
Antwerp 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charleroi Antwerp

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charleroi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charleroi found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Antwerp has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Charleroi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Charleroi VS Antwerp
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Charleroi

(Home)
19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3
Royale Union SG
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 3
Charleroi
22 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 0
KV Mechelen
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Antwerp

(Away)
13 Sept
Club Brugge
3 : 1
Antwerp
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0
Antwerp
30 Aug
Antwerp
1 : 4
St. Truiden
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4
Genk
15 Aug
Kortrijk
0 : 3
Antwerp
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Genk 10 4 5 1 11:6 38
8 St. Liege 10 5 2 3 17:11 37
9 Charleroi 10 5 2 3 12:8 34
10 Westerlo 10 4 1 5 14:17 33
11 Antwerp 10 4 1 5 12:16 31
12 Leuven 10 1 3 6 9:17 23
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)