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Charlestown Azzurri vs Adamstown Rosebud

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW 2025 Lisle Carr Oval
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Aunger R.
16' Event
Fajkovic D.
85' Event
Fajkovic D.

AI Match Summary

Adamstown Rosebud in this NPL Northern NSW 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adamstown Rosebud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Charlestown Azzurri
6%
Draws
90%
Adamstown Rosebud
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Adamstown Rosebud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Charlestown Azzurri haven't matched Adamstown Rosebud's recent run of results.
  • Adamstown Rosebud are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Northern NSW 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Charlestown Azzurri Clean Sheet 10%
Adamstown Rosebud Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlestown Azzurri Adamstown Rosebud
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Charlestown Azzurri
2:0
Feb 22, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Adamstown Rosebud
2:0
Aug 3, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Adamstown Rosebud
0:4
Jun 7, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Charlestown Azzurri
2:2
May 26, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Adamstown Rosebud
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlestown Azzurri Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Adamstown Rosebud Compare

Top Goalscorer Fajkovic D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aunger R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlestown Azzurri 10 / 100
Adamstown Rosebud 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlestown Azzurri Adamstown Rosebud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Charlestown Azzurri found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Adamstown Rosebud conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Adamstown Rosebud lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Charlestown Azzurri VS Adamstown Rosebud
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadmeadow Magic FC22192150:1859
2Edgeworth Eagles FC22172350:1553
3Weston Workers Bears22162461:2550
4Lambton Jaffas FC2296737:2933
5Maitland2295842:4132
6Newcastle Olympic2287747:3831
7Charlestown Azzurri22661032:3424
8Adamstown Rosebud22721333:4723
9Cooks Hill United22721326:4723
10Belmont Swansea United22481034:4520
11Valentine22441428:6016
12New Lambton22141721:627