Sport Picks

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Charlton W vs Durham W

England England

WSL 2 2025/2026 The Valley, London
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Toland T.
26' Event
Muya K.
Assist: Hutton J.
39' Event
Speckmaier M.

AI Match Summary

The WSL 2 2025/2026 game between Charlton W and Durham W finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charlton W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Charlton W
15%
Draws
42%
Durham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charlton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Charlton W come out ahead of Durham W on wins alone.
  • Charlton W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Charlton W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Charlton W Clean Sheet 68%
Durham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlton W Durham W
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 17 4
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.58 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.24 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 WSL 2
Charlton W vs Durham W
4:2
Sep 14, 2025 WSL 2
Durham W vs Charlton W
1:2
Jan 19, 2025 WSL 2
Durham W vs Charlton W
1:2
Sep 22, 2024 WSL 2
Charlton W vs Durham W
2:1
Mar 17, 2024 WSL 2
Durham W vs Charlton W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlton W Compare

Top Goalscorer Muya K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fitzgerald L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Durham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Speckmaier M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlton W 68 / 100
Durham W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlton W Durham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charlton W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Durham W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Charlton W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Difficult form: Durham W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Charlton W VS Durham W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlton W

(Home)
19 Sept
Charlton W
1 : 4
London City Lionesses W
13 Sept
Everton W
1 : 0
Charlton W
06 Sept
Charlton W
0 : 4
Liverpool W
30 Aug
Charlton W
3 : 1
Wolverhampton W
26 Aug
Arsenal W
5 : 1
Charlton W
Page 1 of 7

Durham W

(Away)
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2
Nottingham W
13 Sept
Leicester W
4 : 2
Durham W
06 Sept
Durham W
1 : 3
Southampton FC W
30 Aug
Liverpool W
7 : 1
Durham W
02 May
Newcastle Utd W
0 : 1
Durham W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Birmingham W 22 14 2 6 46:24 44
2 Crystal Palace W 22 13 5 4 44:26 44
3 Charlton W 22 12 6 4 31:21 42
4 Bristol City W 22 11 4 7 47:31 37
5 Southampton FC W 22 10 5 7 44:26 35
6 Newcastle Utd W 22 8 9 5 32:25 33
7 Nottingham W 22 9 3 10 27:35 30
8 Sunderland W 22 6 6 10 28:35 24
9 Ipswich W 22 6 5 11 26:42 23
10 Durham W 22 5 7 10 27:35 22
11 Sheffield Utd W 22 4 6 12 21:43 18
12 Portsmouth W 22 4 2 16 23:53 14
Promotion - WSL (Main)
Promotion - WSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)