Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chateauroux vs Rouen

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Gaston Petit, Châteauroux
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Piquionne L.
14'
Ait Moujane Y.
27'
Chahid Y.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Chateauroux and Rouen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rouen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chateauroux
20%
Draws
47%
Rouen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rouen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rouen come out ahead of Chateauroux on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chateauroux's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 16%
Rouen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chateauroux Rouen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 12
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Rouen
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Chateauroux
1:2
Feb 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Rouen
1:0
Sep 20, 2024 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Chateauroux
4:0
Apr 6, 2024 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Chateauroux
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chateauroux Compare

Top Goalscorer Piquionne L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Rouen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerouedan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendy F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chateauroux 36 / 100
Rouen 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chateauroux Rouen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rouen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chateauroux stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Chateauroux found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Chateauroux VS Rouen
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chateauroux

(Home)
01 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Bourges
15 May
Valenciennes
2 : 2
Chateauroux
09 May
Chateauroux
2 : 1
Sochaux
30 Apr
Dijon
1 : 2
Chateauroux
24 Apr
Chateauroux
0 : 2
Fleury-Merogis
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Rouen

(Away)
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 May
Laval
1 : 0
Rouen
19 May
Rouen
1 : 1
Laval
15 May
Fleury-Merogis
1 : 2
Rouen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)