Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chateauroux vs Sochaux Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Gaston Petit, Châteauroux
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Tjomb G.
32'
Djoco K.
46'
Sub
Gomel B. In: Loubao S.
Out: Gomel B.

AI Match Summary

Chateauroux in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chateauroux.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Chateauroux
35%
Draws
49%
Sochaux
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sochaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Sochaux have won more games recently than Chateauroux.
  • Win probability leans Sochaux's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 20%
Sochaux Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chateauroux Sochaux
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 4 16
Draws 10 12
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.86 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Sochaux
2:1
Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 3
Sochaux vs Chateauroux
1:0
Apr 18, 2025 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Sochaux
1:0
Dec 6, 2024 Ligue 3
Sochaux vs Chateauroux
2:2
Mar 22, 2024 Ligue 3
Sochaux vs Chateauroux
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chateauroux Compare

Top Goalscorer Piquionne L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Freitas R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sochaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Boutoutaou A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.29

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chateauroux 28 / 100
Sochaux 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chateauroux Sochaux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sochaux Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sochaux let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Chateauroux remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Chateauroux's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Chateauroux VS Sochaux
0.14 Goals Scored 0.5
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.38
14% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chateauroux

(Home)
02 Oct
Istres
0 : 0
Chateauroux
11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Limonest
05 Sept
Touraine
1 : 1
Chateauroux
28 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Hyeres
22 Aug
Hauts Lyonnais
0 : 0
Chateauroux
Page 1 of 6

Sochaux

(Away)
02 Oct
Sochaux
2 : 1
Xamax
18 Sept
Laval
1 : 1
Sochaux
12 Sept
Sochaux
1 : 0
Nantes
04 Sept
Pau
1 : 1
Sochaux
28 Aug
Clermont
0 : 0
Sochaux
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury 91 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)