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Chatham vs Lewes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Walker C.
45' Event
Walker C.
47' Event
Giles A.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Chatham and Lewes finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chatham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chatham
30%
Draws
39%
Lewes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lewes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chatham come out ahead of Lewes on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chatham Clean Sheet 15%
Lewes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chatham Lewes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 2 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Lewes
3:2
Apr 25, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Lewes
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Chatham
0:2
Nov 2, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Lewes
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Chatham
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chatham Compare

Top Goalscorer Giles A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allen B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer Walker C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chatham 31 / 100
Lewes 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chatham Lewes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lewes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chatham scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Lewes let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Chatham stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chatham VS Lewes
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chatham

(Home)
10 Nov
Chatham
0 : 1
Leatherhead
07 Nov
Chatham
1 : 1
Burgess Hill
31 Oct
Cheshunt
3 : 1
Chatham
27 Oct
Enfield Town
4 : 0
Chatham
24 Oct
Chatham
3 : 2
Welling
Page 1 of 6

Lewes

(Away)
10 Nov
Enfield Town
2 : 0
Lewes
07 Nov
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 3
Lewes
03 Nov
Lewes
1 : 2
Dartford
31 Oct
Lewes
2 : 2
Wingate & Finchley
17 Oct
Lewes
1 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 16 12 1 3 45:18 37
2 Welling 17 12 1 4 36:18 37
3 Eastbourne Borough 16 11 1 4 31:18 34
4 Dartford 16 10 0 6 28:23 30
5 Lewes 17 9 3 5 26:22 30
6 Ramsgate 15 8 1 6 33:19 25
7 Carshalton 17 8 1 8 27:34 25
8 Leatherhead 14 7 3 4 28:21 24
9 St. Albans 13 7 2 4 25:19 23
10 Chatham 16 7 1 8 28:25 22
11 Wingate & Finchley 15 6 4 5 28:29 22
12 Burgess Hill 16 5 7 4 26:28 22
13 Whyteleafe 16 6 3 7 28:27 21
14 Dulwich Hamlet 17 6 3 8 29:33 21
15 Aveley 16 6 2 8 25:28 20
16 Maldon & Tiptree 18 6 2 10 26:40 20
17 Cray Wanderers 11 5 3 3 25:15 18
18 Cheshunt 16 4 6 6 19:27 18
19 Brentwood 15 5 1 9 25:28 16
20 Three Bridges 16 2 4 10 25:42 10
21 Whitehawk 17 1 5 11 16:39 8
22 Stanway Rovers 16 2 2 12 14:40 8
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)