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Chatham vs Lewes

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Walker C.
45' Event
Walker C.
47' Event
Giles A.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Chatham and Lewes finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chatham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Chatham
15%
Draws
21%
Lewes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chatham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chatham come out ahead of Lewes on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chatham Clean Sheet 14%
Lewes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chatham Lewes
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 8
Draws 2 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2.13 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Lewes
3:2
Apr 25, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Lewes
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Chatham
0:2
Nov 2, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Lewes
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Chatham
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chatham Compare

Top Goalscorer Giles A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allen B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer Walker C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chatham 30 / 100
Lewes 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chatham Lewes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chatham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chatham scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Lewes let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Chatham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chatham VS Lewes
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chatham

(Home)
26 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
3 : 1
Chatham
19 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 1
Chatham
15 Sept
Eastbourne Borough
2 : 1
Chatham
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
05 Sept
Egham Town
0 : 4
Chatham
Page 1 of 6

Lewes

(Away)
26 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Lewes
19 Sept
Cheshunt
3 : 1
Lewes
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
08 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 0
Lewes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 8 6 0 2 23:11 18
2 Welling 8 6 0 2 18:9 18
3 Dartford 8 6 0 2 13:8 18
4 Carshalton 9 6 0 3 15:13 18
5 Lewes 9 5 1 3 14:11 16
6 Leatherhead 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
7 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
8 Ramsgate 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
9 Dulwich Hamlet 7 4 1 2 16:9 13
10 Eastbourne Borough 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
11 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
12 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
13 Aveley 8 3 1 4 16:14 10
14 Burgess Hill 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
15 Cray Wanderers 7 2 3 2 13:11 9
16 Maldon & Tiptree 8 3 0 5 12:21 9
17 Cheshunt 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
18 Brentwood 8 2 0 6 13:15 6
19 Whyteleafe 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
20 Whitehawk 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
21 Three Bridges 9 1 2 6 16:28 5
22 Stanway Rovers 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)