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Chatham vs Margate

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Walters T.
72' Event
Allen B.
73' Event
Trialist M

AI Match Summary

Margate in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Margate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Chatham
15%
Draws
21%
Margate
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chatham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chatham lately — more wins on the board than Margate.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Chatham taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Margate have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chatham Clean Sheet 17%
Margate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chatham Margate
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Chatham vs Margate
1:2
Feb 10, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Margate
2:1
Oct 17, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Margate vs Chatham
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chatham Compare

Top Goalscorer Allen B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Margate Compare

Top Goalscorer Walters T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trialist M
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chatham 84 / 100
Margate 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chatham Margate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chatham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Margate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Chatham scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Chatham went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chatham VS Margate
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chatham

(Home)
19 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 1
Chatham
15 Sept
Eastbourne Borough
2 : 1
Chatham
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
05 Sept
Egham Town
0 : 4
Chatham
31 Aug
Dartford
1 : 0
Chatham
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Margate

(Away)
05 Sept
Margate
1 : 3
Snodland
28 Aug
Ascot United
3 : 0
Margate
18 Jul
Chatham
1 : 2
Margate
04 Jul
Margate
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
06 Sept
Westfield
4 : 2
Margate
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