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Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Corpus Christi FC

USA USA

USL Cup CHI Memorial Stadium, East Ridge, TN
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bowen B.
Assist: Dietrich J.
9'
Hernandez P.
12'
Medina A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Corpus Christi FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
33%
Draws
27%
Corpus Christi FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Chattanooga Red Wolves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Chattanooga Red Wolves carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chattanooga Red Wolves are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Chattanooga Red Wolves have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Corpus Christi FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 18%
Corpus Christi FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chattanooga Red Wolves Corpus Christi FC
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 2 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 USL League One
Corpus Christi FC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 USL Cup
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Corpus Christi FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Corpus Christi FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bowen B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chattanooga Red Wolves 40 / 100
Corpus Christi FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chattanooga Red Wolves Corpus Christi FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chattanooga Red Wolves scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Corpus Christi FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chattanooga Red Wolves stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chattanooga Red Wolves VS Corpus Christi FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chattanooga Red Wolves

(Home)
18 Jul
Charlotte Independence
2 : 4
Chattanooga Red Wolves
15 Jul
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
AV Alta FC
12 Jul
San Antonio FC
2 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
04 Jul
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
01 Jul
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2 : 0
Westchester SC
Page 1 of 6

Corpus Christi FC

(Away)
18 Jul
New York Cosmos
0 : 0
Corpus Christi FC
12 Jul
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2
One Knoxville
04 Jul
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
01 Jul
Charlotte Independence
2 : 1
Corpus Christi FC
25 Jun
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 0
AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spokane Velocity43016:69
2Sacramento Republic43017:38
3Athletic Club Boise43019:68
4Oakland Roots41034:64
5Las Vegas Lights41034:74
6Monterey Bay41038:103
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colorado Springs440010:112
2New Mexico43018:59
3El Paso Locomotive42025:56
4AV Alta FC42025:66
5Phoenix Rising41033:83
6Orange County SC40043:90
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio FC44006:111
2Birmingham Legion43018:39
3One Knoxville43016:46
4FC Tulsa41034:74
5Corpus Christi FC41032:64
6Chattanooga Red Wolves40042:72
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City440013:411
2Detroit City42024:48
3Indy Eleven43017:47
4Lexington42028:86
5Union Omaha420210:126
6Forward Madison41036:103
7Fort Wayne40046:121
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hartford Athletic43018:310
2Rhode Island43017:37
3Brooklyn FC42029:57
4Portland Hearts of Pine42027:106
5New York Cosmos41035:114
6Westchester SC41036:102
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence44008:410
2Charleston43019:49
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds42026:38
4Greenville Triumph41034:73
5Loudoun United41034:73
6Richmond Kickers41033:93
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay440010:112
2Miami FC430111:59
3Sporting Jax41033:54
4Sarasota Paradise41032:93
5FC Naples41033:92
6South Georgia Tormenta00000:00
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams