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Chauray vs Granville

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National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
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Match Events

52' Event
Cherchour M.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 game between Chauray and Granville finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Granville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Chauray
30%
Draws
62%
Granville
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Granville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chauray come out ahead of Granville on wins alone.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Granville taking it.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Chauray Clean Sheet 17%
Granville Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chauray Granville
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 12
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Chauray vs Granville
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Granville vs Chauray
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chauray Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Granville Compare

Top Goalscorer Cherchour M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chauray 28 / 100
Granville 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chauray Granville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Granville Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Granville conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Chauray scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chauray stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chauray VS Granville
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chauray

(Home)
19 Sept
Dinan
2 : 1
Chauray
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
04 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 0
Chauray
29 Aug
Chauray
0 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
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Granville

(Away)
19 Sept
Granville
1 : 0
Saint-Malo
11 Sept
Stade Briochin
2 : 2
Granville
05 Sept
Granville
2 : 1
Le Poire Sur Vie
29 Aug
Pontivy
1 : 1
Granville
21 Aug
Granville
1 : 3
Bayonne
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)