Sport Picks
Chelsea U21 vs Sunderland U21
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Kingsmeadow, London 
Match Events
19'
19'
Aleksic M.
26'
26'
Cardoso L.
Assist: Murray-Campbell H.
42'
42'
Murray-Campbell H.
AI Match Summary
Chelsea U21 in this Premier League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelsea U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chelsea U21 lately — more wins on the board than Sunderland U21.
- Chelsea U21 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Premier League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Chelsea U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Sunderland U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelsea U21 | Sunderland U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.27 | 2.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Premier League 2
Chelsea U21 vs Sunderland U21
4:0
Jan 31, 2016 Premier League U21
Sunderland U21 vs Chelsea U21
0:0
Nov 30, 2015 Premier League U21
Chelsea U21 vs Sunderland U21
1:3
May 11, 2015 Premier League U21
Sunderland U21 vs Chelsea U21
1:0
Dec 14, 2014 Premier League U21
Chelsea U21 vs Sunderland U21
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelsea U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Cardoso L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Murray-Campbell H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Sunderland U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelsea U21 38 / 100
Sunderland U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelsea U21 Sunderland U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelsea U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelsea U21 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Sunderland U21 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Chelsea U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chelsea U21 VS Sunderland U21
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelsea U21
(Home) 19 Sept
Chelsea U21
3 : 1 Fulham U21
15 Sept
Wycombe
2 : 1 Chelsea U21
12 Sept
Arsenal U21
1 : 4 Chelsea U21
31 Aug
Chelsea U21
5 : 4 West Ham U21
25 Aug
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3 Chelsea U21
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Chelsea U21
3 : 1 Fulham U21
31 Aug
Chelsea U21
5 : 4 West Ham U21
21 Jul
Chelsea U21
0 : 0 Cardiff U21
01 May
Chelsea U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
25 Apr
Chelsea U21
1 : 0 Middlesbrough U21
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Sunderland U21
(Away) 22 Sept
Accrington
4 : 3 Sunderland U21
18 Sept
Sunderland U21
3 : 1 Norwich U21
11 Sept
Sunderland U21
4 : 2 Ipswich U21
31 Aug
Brentford U21
5 : 1 Sunderland U21
24 Aug
Sunderland U21
5 : 1 Nottingham U21
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22 Sept
Accrington
4 : 3 Sunderland U21
31 Aug
Brentford U21
5 : 1 Sunderland U21
18 Jul
South Shields
1 : 1 Sunderland U21
26 Apr
Manchester United U21
3 : 2 Sunderland U21
06 Apr
Derby U21
2 : 1 Sunderland U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
