Sport Picks
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Thomas C. In: Agius C.
Out: Thomas C.
51'
51'
Young L.
55'
55'
Bickerstaff J.
Assist: Young L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cheltenham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Crewe lately — more wins on the board than Cheltenham.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet 68%
Crewe Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cheltenham | Crewe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2026 League Two
Cheltenham vs Crewe
1:1
Jan 1, 2026 League Two
Crewe vs Cheltenham
4:1
Apr 10, 2025 League Two
Crewe vs Cheltenham
2:3
Dec 26, 2024 League Two
Cheltenham vs Crewe
2:1
Feb 26, 2022 League One
Cheltenham vs Crewe
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cheltenham Compare
Top Goalscorer Bickerstaff J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Crewe Compare
Top Goalscorer Connolly J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cheltenham 41 / 100
Crewe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cheltenham Crewe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cheltenham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cheltenham's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Cheltenham remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Crewe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Cheltenham VS Crewe
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cheltenham
(Home) 22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 Exeter
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Cheltenham
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3 Cheltenham
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2 Grimsby
01 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 York City
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 Exeter
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2 Grimsby
01 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 York City
15 Aug
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Rotherham
08 Aug
Cheltenham
1 : 3 Charlton
Page 1 of 3
Crewe
(Away) 22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1 Aston Villa U21
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 Shrewsbury
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Crewe
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 York City
01 Sept
Crewe
2 : 2 Walsall
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Crewe
29 Aug
Port Vale
0 : 0 Crewe
25 Aug
Barnsley
3 : 2 Crewe
15 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 1 Crewe
01 Aug
Chester
0 : 0 Crewe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
