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Cheng Fung vs Must IPO

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Araujo B.
41' Event
Leong K.
45' Event
Maronesi W.

AI Match Summary

Must IPO in this Elite League matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Must IPO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Cheng Fung
6%
Draws
90%
Must IPO
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Must IPO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Must IPO have won more games recently than Cheng Fung.
  • Win probability leans Must IPO's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Cheng Fung Clean Sheet 10%
Must IPO Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheng Fung Must IPO
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 24
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 2 4.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 4.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Must IPO
1:6
Apr 5, 2026 Elite League
Must IPO vs Cheng Fung
1:2
Aug 10, 2025 Elite League
Must IPO vs Cheng Fung
7:0
Jun 29, 2025 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Must IPO
1:10
Mar 7, 2025 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Must IPO
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheng Fung Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Must IPO Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leong K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 4.32
Avg xA / game 2.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheng Fung 10 / 100
Must IPO 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheng Fung Must IPO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.40 goals per match.

Cheng Fung scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Must IPO conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Cheng Fung went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cheng Fung VS Must IPO
2 Goals Scored 4.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheng Fung

(Home)
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
11 Jul
Cheng Fung
1 : 6
Must IPO
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
27 Jun
Cheng Fung
1 : 4
Gala
20 Jun
Cheng Fung
4 : 4
G. Universe
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Must IPO

(Away)
17 Jul
Gala
2 : 2
Must IPO
11 Jul
Cheng Fung
1 : 6
Must IPO
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
27 Jun
Artilheiros
1 : 10
Must IPO
21 Jun
Must IPO
3 : 0
Hang Sai
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shao Jiang17142183:1644
2Must IPO17132281:1441
3Gala17122352:2138
4Chiba1784544:2828
5Benfica1773744:4124
6Cheng Fung1756629:3621
7G. Universe1762946:6920
8Hang Sai17341033:4413
9Artilheiros17331124:9512
10University of Macau17001713:850
Promotion - Elite League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Elite League (Relegation Group)