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Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shenzhen FC

China China

Super League 2023 Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, Chengdu
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Hu Ruibao
Assist: Tang Miao
17'
Chen Guoliang
19' Event
Windbichler R.
Assist: Andrigo

AI Match Summary

Chengdu Rongcheng in this Super League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chengdu Rongcheng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chengdu Rongcheng
6%
Draws
4%
Shenzhen FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chengdu Rongcheng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chengdu Rongcheng lately — more wins on the board than Shenzhen FC.
  • Chengdu Rongcheng are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 68%
Shenzhen FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chengdu Rongcheng Shenzhen FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 2
Draws 8 3
Losses 7 25
Goals Scored 2.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2023 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shenzhen FC
4:0
Jun 29, 2023 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Chengdu Rongcheng
0:3
Jun 26, 2022 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shenzhen FC
2:2
Jun 4, 2022 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Chengdu Rongcheng
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chengdu Rongcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hu Ruibao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Shenzhen FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chengdu Rongcheng 95 / 100
Shenzhen FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chengdu Rongcheng Shenzhen FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chengdu Rongcheng found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Shenzhen FC has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Shenzhen FC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chengdu Rongcheng VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chengdu Rongcheng

(Home)
26 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 2
Beijing Guoan
21 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
4 : 3
Chengdu Rongcheng
17 Jul
Qingdao West Coast
1 : 1
Chengdu Rongcheng
11 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng
1 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
05 Jul
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 1
Chengdu Rongcheng
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Shenzhen FC

(Away)
04 Nov
Shenzhen FC
0 : 3
Beijing Guoan
29 Oct
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 0
Shenzhen FC
23 Oct
Chengdu Rongcheng
4 : 0
Shenzhen FC
29 Sept
Shenzhen FC
0 : 1
Changchun Yatai
24 Sept
Shenzhen FC
0 : 5
Zhejiang Professional
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shanghai Port30196561:3063
2Shandong Taishan301610459:2558
3Zhejiang Professional30167757:3455
4Chengdu Rongcheng30158751:3253
5Shanghai Shenhua30157834:3152
6Beijing Guoan30149753:3551
7Wuhan Three Towns30149751:3551
8Tianjin Jinmen Tiger301115440:2948
9Changchun Yatai301091144:4839
10Henan Songshan Longmen30991238:4036
11Meizhou Hakka30971442:5434
12Cangzhou Mighty Lions30871529:6031
13Qingdao Hainiu30771634:4528
14Nantong Zhiyun304101626:4222
15Dalian Professional303111625:4720
16Shenzhen FC30332422:7912
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2024/2025 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2024/2025 (League phase)
Relegation - Jia League 2024 (Main)