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Stadium Background

Chennaiyin FC vs East Bengal

India India

Super Cup GMC Stadium Bambolim, Bambolim
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Singh J.
19'
Sub
Singh J. In: Fernandes K.
Out: Singh J.
35' Event
Sibille K.

AI Match Summary

East Bengal in this Super Cup tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Chennaiyin FC
6%
Draws
90%
East Bengal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: East Bengal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chennaiyin FC haven't matched East Bengal's recent run of results.
  • East Bengal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • East Bengal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor East Bengal, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors East Bengal here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Chennaiyin FC Clean Sheet 10%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chennaiyin FC East Bengal
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 5 19
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 ISL
Chennaiyin FC vs East Bengal
1:3
Oct 28, 2025 Super Cup
Chennaiyin FC vs East Bengal
0:4
Feb 8, 2025 ISL
East Bengal vs Chennaiyin FC
0:3
Dec 7, 2024 ISL
Chennaiyin FC vs East Bengal
0:2
Feb 26, 2024 ISL
East Bengal vs Chennaiyin FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chennaiyin FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

East Bengal Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sibille K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chennaiyin FC 10 / 100
East Bengal 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chennaiyin FC East Bengal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Bengal has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Chennaiyin FC scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Chennaiyin FC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chennaiyin FC VS East Bengal
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chennaiyin FC

(Home)
16 May
Chennaiyin FC
1 : 2
Bengaluru FC
10 May
North East United
4 : 1
Chennaiyin FC
06 May
Minerva Punjab
1 : 0
Chennaiyin FC
25 Apr
Jamshedpur
4 : 1
Chennaiyin FC
21 Apr
Chennaiyin FC
0 : 0
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 6

East Bengal

(Away)
28 Jul
Patha Chakra
1 : 5
East Bengal
25 Jul
East Bengal
0 : 1
Mohun Bagan
18 Jul
East Bengal
1 : 0
Railway FC
15 Jul
Bidhannagar Municipal SA
1 : 5
East Bengal
12 Jul
East Bengal
3 : 0
George Telegrapher
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1East Bengal31206:25
2Mohun Bagan31202:05
3Dempo30303:33
4Chennaiyin FC30121:71
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Goa32016:26
2North East United31206:55
3Jamshedpur31114:44
4Inter Kashi30122:71
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Minerva Punjab22006:06
2Bengaluru FC22006:06
3Gokulam31023:73
4Mohammedan30030:80
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mumbai City32015:26
2Kerala Blasters32014:16
3Rajasthan United31113:34
4SC Delhi30123:91
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)