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Chennaiyin FC vs East Bengal

India India

ISL Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Chennai
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Kotal P.
7' Event
Lalrindika E.
Assist: Crespo S.
9'
Sub
Elsinho In: Bemammer M.
Out: Elsinho

AI Match Summary

East Bengal in this ISL matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored East Bengal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Chennaiyin FC
6%
Draws
90%
East Bengal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: East Bengal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • East Bengal have won more games recently than Chennaiyin FC.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on East Bengal taking it.
  • Regular ISL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • East Bengal have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Chennaiyin FC Clean Sheet 10%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chennaiyin FC East Bengal
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 5 19
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 ISL
Chennaiyin FC vs East Bengal
1:3
Oct 28, 2025 Super Cup
Chennaiyin FC vs East Bengal
0:4
Feb 8, 2025 ISL
East Bengal vs Chennaiyin FC
0:3
Dec 7, 2024 ISL
Chennaiyin FC vs East Bengal
0:2
Feb 26, 2024 ISL
East Bengal vs Chennaiyin FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chennaiyin FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Yadwad I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

East Bengal Compare

Top Goalscorer Lalrindika E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Singh B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chennaiyin FC 10 / 100
East Bengal 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chennaiyin FC East Bengal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Bengal has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Chennaiyin FC found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Chennaiyin FC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chennaiyin FC VS East Bengal
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chennaiyin FC

(Home)
16 May
Chennaiyin FC
1 : 2
Bengaluru FC
10 May
North East United
4 : 1
Chennaiyin FC
06 May
Minerva Punjab
1 : 0
Chennaiyin FC
25 Apr
Jamshedpur
4 : 1
Chennaiyin FC
21 Apr
Chennaiyin FC
0 : 0
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 6

East Bengal

(Away)
28 Jul
Patha Chakra
1 : 5
East Bengal
25 Jul
East Bengal
0 : 1
Mohun Bagan
18 Jul
East Bengal
1 : 0
Railway FC
15 Jul
Bidhannagar Municipal SA
1 : 5
East Bengal
12 Jul
East Bengal
3 : 0
George Telegrapher
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1East Bengal1375130:1126
2Mohun Bagan1375123:926
3Mumbai City1374217:925
4Bengaluru FC1365218:1223
5Jamshedpur1364315:1022
6Minerva Punjab1364318:1222
7FC Goa1355315:1120
8Kerala Blasters1352615:1717
9North East United1344516:2116
10Inter Kashi1334611:1713
11Odisha FC1325614:2211
12SC Delhi1325613:1711
13Chennaiyin FC132389:219
14Mohammedan1303107:323
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)