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Cherepovets vs FC Chertanovo Moscow

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kondrashov D.
35' Event
Antsiferov I.
85' Event
Rebrov S.

AI Match Summary

FC Chertanovo Moscow in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Chertanovo Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Cherepovets
6%
Draws
90%
FC Chertanovo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Chertanovo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cherepovets have won more games recently than FC Chertanovo Moscow.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FC Chertanovo Moscow taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Chertanovo Moscow here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 10%
FC Chertanovo Moscow Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherepovets FC Chertanovo Moscow
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
1:3
Aug 10, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
0:4
Apr 20, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Cherepovets
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherepovets Compare

Top Goalscorer Antsiferov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FC Chertanovo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Kondrashov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rebrov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherepovets 10 / 100
FC Chertanovo Moscow 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherepovets FC Chertanovo Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherepovets scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: FC Chertanovo Moscow conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Cherepovets remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cherepovets VS FC Chertanovo Moscow
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherepovets

(Home)
26 Jul
Cherepovets
2 : 1
Iskra Smolensk
05 Jul
Luki-Energiya
3 : 0
Cherepovets
28 Jun
Cherepovets
0 : 2
Zvezda St Peterburg
21 Jun
Vladimir
1 : 0
Cherepovets
14 Jun
Cherepovets
1 : 2
FC Irkutsk
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FC Chertanovo Moscow

(Away)
26 Jul
FC Chertanovo Moscow
1 : 1
Zvezda St Peterburg
05 Jul
FC Irkutsk
1 : 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow
28 Jun
FC Chertanovo Moscow
1 : 1
Dynamo Vologda
21 Jun
Baltika 2
1 : 3
FC Chertanovo Moscow
14 Jun
FC Chertanovo Moscow
3 : 1
Yenisey 2
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