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Chernolomets vs Chernomorets Balchik

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2025/2026 game between Chernolomets and Chernomorets Balchik finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernomorets Balchik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chernolomets
30%
Draws
37%
Chernomorets Balchik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chernomorets Balchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Chernomorets Balchik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chernolomets a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 10%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernolomets Chernomorets Balchik
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 23
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 0
Goals Scored 2.31 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:0
Apr 5, 2026 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Chernomorets Balchik
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Chernolomets
4:0
Mar 30, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Chernomorets Balchik
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Chernolomets
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernolomets 34 / 100
Chernomorets Balchik 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernolomets Chernomorets Balchik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernolomets's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Chernolomets remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Chernomorets Balchik conceded in 34% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Chernolomets VS Chernomorets Balchik
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernolomets

(Home)
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
26 Aug
Cherno More II
4 : 1
Chernolomets
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Chernomorets Balchik

(Away)
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
22 Aug
Chernolomets
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)