Sport Picks
Chernolomets vs Dorostol
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Chernolomets in this Third League - North-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chernolomets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernolomets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chernolomets lately — more wins on the board than Dorostol.
- Chernolomets are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Third League - North-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
- History favors Chernolomets here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 18%
Dorostol Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chernolomets | Dorostol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 2.28 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Dorostol
3:0
Dec 6, 2025 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Chernolomets
0:4
May 25, 2025 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Chernolomets
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Dorostol
1:2
Mar 23, 2024 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Chernolomets
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chernolomets 85 / 100
Dorostol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chernolomets Dorostol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chernolomets scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Dorostol conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Dorostol's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Chernolomets VS Dorostol
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chernolomets
(Home) 05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3 Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1 Aksakovo
26 Aug
Cherno More II
4 : 1 Chernolomets
22 Aug
Chernolomets
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
30 May
Chernolomets
3 : 0 Dorostol
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1 Aksakovo
22 Aug
Chernolomets
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
30 May
Chernolomets
3 : 0 Dorostol
16 May
Chernolomets
3 : 0 Ustrem Donchevo
09 May
Chernolomets
3 : 0 Aksakovo
Page 1 of 3
Dorostol
(Away) 06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1 Dorostol
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3 Volov Shumen
26 Aug
FK Riltzi
1 : 0 Dorostol
22 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 4 Svetkavitsa 2014
30 May
Chernolomets
3 : 0 Dorostol
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1 Dorostol
26 Aug
FK Riltzi
1 : 0 Dorostol
30 May
Chernolomets
3 : 0 Dorostol
16 May
Olympic Varna
4 : 2 Dorostol
02 May
Ustrem Donchevo
4 : 1 Dorostol
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Balchik | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 92:14 | 85 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 101:19 | 79 |
| 3 | Septemvri Tervel | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 89:22 | 78 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 93:28 | 72 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 32 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 78:43 | 63 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 65:44 | 55 |
| 8 | Ustrem Donchevo | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 73:67 | 54 |
| 9 | Olympic Varna | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 58:80 | 36 |
| 10 | Aksakovo | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 40:68 | 31 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:71 | 30 |
| 12 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:48 | 29 |
| 13 | Botev Novi Pazar | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Spartak Varna II | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 42:72 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Riltzi | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 31:83 | 22 |
| 17 | Svetkavitsa | 32 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5:129 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)
