Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chernomorets 1919 vs Beroe

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga efbet Arena, Burgas
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Tsonev M.
20'
Ramadan A.
31'
Yoskov V.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Chernomorets 1919 and Beroe finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernomorets 1919.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Chernomorets 1919
35%
Draws
31%
Beroe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Chernomorets 1919 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chernomorets 1919 a 34% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Beroe have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 68%
Beroe Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets 1919 Beroe
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Beroe
1:0
Jul 1, 2023 Club Friendly
Beroe vs Chernomorets 1919
3:1
Sep 2, 2020 Club Friendly
Beroe vs Chernomorets 1919
6:0
May 4, 2014 efbet League
Chernomorets 1919 vs Beroe
0:5
Mar 30, 2014 efbet League
Beroe vs Chernomorets 1919
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chernomorets 1919 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsonev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Beroe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets 1919 86 / 100
Beroe 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets 1919 Beroe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets 1919 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Chernomorets 1919 scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Beroe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Chernomorets 1919 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets 1919 VS Beroe
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets 1919

(Home)
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
02 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
29 Aug
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Chernomorets 1919
23 Aug
Hebar
1 : 0
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

Beroe

(Away)
13 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Svoge
06 Sept
Dobrudzha
2 : 2
Beroe
03 Sept
Beroe
0 : 0
Montana
29 Aug
Etar
2 : 2
Beroe
25 Aug
Beroe
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 9 6 3 0 21:8 21
2 Fratria 10 5 4 1 14:8 19
3 Chernomorets 1919 10 5 3 2 16:8 18
4 CSKA Sofia II 9 5 2 2 19:8 17
5 Nesebar 10 5 2 3 20:15 17
6 Yantra Gabrovo 10 5 1 4 12:10 16
7 Beroe 10 4 3 3 15:12 15
8 Rilski Sportist 10 4 3 3 13:10 15
9 Gorna 10 4 3 3 9:10 15
10 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
11 Marek 10 4 1 5 11:12 13
12 Ludogorets II 9 3 3 3 9:9 12
13 Hebar 9 3 2 4 18:17 11
14 Montana 9 3 2 4 13:16 11
15 Spartak Pleven 9 3 1 5 10:19 10
16 Svoge 9 1 4 4 4:7 7
17 Dobrudzha 9 1 3 5 9:14 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 10 0 0 10 4:32 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)