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Stadium Background

Chernomorets 1919 vs Beroe

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga efbet Arena, Burgas
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chernomorets 1919 host Beroe in the Vtora liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Chernomorets 1919 have averaged 1.13 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Beroe's 1.63 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Beroe slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 1, 2023, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.81, favoring Beroe. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Chernomorets 1919
17%
Draws
70%
Beroe
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Beroe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Beroe's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Chernomorets 1919 have produced (1.13).
  • Model gives Beroe a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Beroe have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 11%
Beroe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets 1919 Beroe
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2023 Club Friendly
Beroe vs Chernomorets 1919
3:1
Sep 2, 2020 Club Friendly
Beroe vs Chernomorets 1919
6:0
May 4, 2014 efbet League
Chernomorets 1919 vs Beroe
0:5
Mar 30, 2014 efbet League
Beroe vs Chernomorets 1919
3:0
Mar 9, 2014 efbet League
Chernomorets 1919 vs Beroe
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets 1919 14 / 100
Beroe 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets 1919 Beroe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Chernomorets 1919 scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Beroe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Chernomorets 1919 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets 1919 VS Beroe
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets 1919

(Home)
25 Jul
Gorna
1 : 1
Chernomorets 1919
11 Jul
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 3
Etar
01 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
4 : 0
Chernomorets 1919
23 May
Sevlievo
3 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
15 May
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Svoge
Page 1 of 6

Beroe

(Away)
24 Jul
Beroe
2 : 1
Hebar
18 Jul
Beroe
0 : 0
Zagorets
15 Jul
Beroe
1 : 2
Maritsa Milevo
12 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
4 : 0
Beroe
08 Jul
Beroe
6 : 0
Levski Karlovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Etar11005:13
2Dobrudzha11005:13
3Spartak Pleven11002:03
4Beroe11002:13
5Marek11001:03
6Ludogorets II11001:03
7Montana10102:21
8Svoge10102:21
9Vihren10101:11
10Gorna10101:11
11CSKA Sofia II10101:11
12Chernomorets 191910101:11
13Hebar10011:20
14Rilski Sportist10010:10
15Fratria10010:10
16Yantra Gabrovo10010:20
17Pirin Blagoevgrad10011:50
18Nesebar10011:50
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)