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Chernomorets 1919 vs Etar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Atanasov A.
29' Event
Kolev K.
76' Event
Tsanev T.

AI Match Summary

Etar in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chernomorets 1919
40%
Draws
29%
Etar
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Etar have won more games recently than Chernomorets 1919.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 16%
Etar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets 1919 Etar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Etar
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Vtora liga
Etar vs Chernomorets 1919
3:3
Oct 13, 2024 Bulgarian Cup
Chernomorets 1919 vs Etar
2:0
Jan 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Chernomorets 1919 vs Etar
1:0
Nov 18, 2023 Bulgarian Cup
Chernomorets 1919 vs Etar
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chernomorets 1919 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolev K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Etar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsanev T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Atanasov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets 1919 31 / 100
Etar 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets 1919 Etar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etar let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Chernomorets 1919 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Etar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets 1919 VS Etar
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%