Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chernomorets 1919 vs Svoge

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Gradski stadion, Nesebar
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Zhelyazkov N.
54' Event
Petkov Z.
74'
Sub
Georgiev I. In: Dimitrov V.
Out: Georgiev I.

AI Match Summary

Chernomorets 1919 in this Vtora liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chernomorets 1919.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Chernomorets 1919
30%
Draws
19%
Svoge
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Svoge haven't matched Chernomorets 1919's recent run of results.
  • Chernomorets 1919 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 68%
Svoge Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets 1919 Svoge
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Svoge
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Chernomorets 1919
0:1
May 18, 2024 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Chernomorets 1919
1:0
Nov 3, 2023 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Svoge
1:2
Mar 20, 2010 efbet League
Svoge vs Chernomorets 1919
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chernomorets 1919 Compare

Top Goalscorer Petkov Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Svoge Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets 1919 95 / 100
Svoge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets 1919 Svoge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets 1919 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Chernomorets 1919 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Chernomorets 1919's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Svoge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets 1919 VS Svoge
1.38 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 13%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets 1919

(Home)
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4
Chernomorets 1919
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
02 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
29 Aug
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

Svoge

(Away)
21 Sept
Svoge
3 : 2
Vihren
13 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Svoge
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
02 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1
Svoge
29 Aug
Svoge
0 : 0
Marek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 32 20 9 3 53:16 69
2 Yantra Gabrovo 32 18 10 4 45:24 64
3 Fratria 32 18 9 5 61:29 63
4 Vihren 32 17 7 8 59:34 58
5 CSKA Sofia II 32 16 7 9 57:32 55
6 Chernomorets 1919 32 11 13 8 38:32 46
7 Etar 32 11 11 10 39:43 44
8 Ludogorets II 32 11 8 13 41:43 41
9 Marek 32 10 11 11 27:35 41
10 Hebar 32 11 7 14 41:51 40
11 Pirin Blagoevgrad 32 9 11 12 38:41 38
12 Spartak Pleven 32 9 8 15 37:45 35
13 Svoge 32 9 7 16 28:48 34
14 Gorna 32 8 9 15 33:52 33
15 Sevlievo 32 9 5 18 29:52 32
16 Minyor Pernik 32 7 9 16 32:45 30
17 Belasitsa Petrich 32 4 7 21 26:62 19
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