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Cherry Orchard vs St Mochta's

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2003/2004
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Cherry Orchard advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Cherry Orchard
15%
Draws
51%
St Mochta's
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Mochta's

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cherry Orchard come out ahead of St Mochta's on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cherry Orchard's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Cherry Orchard have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cherry Orchard, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cherry Orchard Clean Sheet 12%
St Mochta's Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherry Orchard St Mochta's
Matches Played 21 18
Wins 7 6
Draws 4 0
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.62 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2003 FAI Cup
Cherry Orchard vs St Mochta's
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherry Orchard 35 / 100
St Mochta's 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherry Orchard St Mochta's

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherry Orchard's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

St Mochta's let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

St Mochta's lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cherry Orchard VS St Mochta's
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherry Orchard

(Home)
26 Sept
Firhouse
3 : 3
Cherry Orchard
22 Apr
North End United
2 : 0
Cherry Orchard
28 Apr
Bangor Celtic
3 : 2
Cherry Orchard
21 May
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 1
Cherry Orchard
24 Apr
Cherry Orchard
1 : 0
Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 5

St Mochta's

(Away)
17 Jul
St Mochta's
1 : 3
Dundalk
15 May
Wayside Celtic
3 : 4
St Mochta's
18 Jul
Waterford
5 : 1
St Mochta's
17 May
St Mochta's
4 : 0
Douglas Hall
08 Oct
St. Patricks
2 : 1
St Mochta's
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Portmarnock 0
Dublin City 1
St Mochta's 0
Cherry Orchard 3
Crumlin Utd 1
Kildare County 3
Drogheda 2
Finn Harps 1
UC Dublin 2
Belgrove 0
Skerries Town 1
Monaghan United 0
Dundalk 0
Bohemians 2
Galway United 2
Loughshinny United 0
Cobh Ramblers 0
Derry City 1
Shelbourne 2
Cork City 0
Moyle Park 0
Sligo Rovers 2
Waterford 3
Home Farm 1
Athlone 3
Bray 6
Limerick 2
Kilkenny City 1
Tolka 1
Longford 4
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Dublin City 0
Cherry Orchard 0
Kildare County 1
Drogheda 2
UC Dublin 0
Skerries Town 0
Bohemians 3
Galway United 2
Derry City 1
Shelbourne 2
Sligo Rovers 3
Waterford 2
Bray 1
Limerick 1
Longford 2
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 2
Kildare County 1
Drogheda 1
Bohemians 4
Galway United 2
Sligo Rovers 1
Waterford 1
Longford 3
Semi-finals
St. Patricks 3
Bohemians 3
Galway United 0
Longford 1
Final
St. Patricks 0
Longford 2