Sport Picks
Chiangmai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
Thailand
Thai League 2 2025/2026 700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai 
Match Events
47'
47'
Jeong W.
60'
60'
Noisri W.
69'
69'
Jeong W.
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 2 2025/2026 game between Chiangmai United and Nong Bua Pitchaya finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chiangmai United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nong Bua Pitchaya come out ahead of Chiangmai United on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Thai League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
- History favors Nong Bua Pitchaya here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chiangmai United Clean Sheet 10%
Nong Bua Pitchaya Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chiangmai United | Nong Bua Pitchaya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 2.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
3:0
Dec 13, 2025 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United
1:0
Jan 28, 2024 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United
2:1
Sep 16, 2023 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
1:3
Mar 20, 2022 Thai League 1
Chiangmai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chiangmai United Compare
Top Goalscorer Jeong W.
2 Goals Assists Leader Noisri W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Nong Bua Pitchaya Compare
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chiangmai United 29 / 100
Nong Bua Pitchaya 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chiangmai United Nong Bua Pitchaya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nong Bua Pitchaya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.
Chiangmai United scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Chiangmai United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chiangmai United VS Nong Bua Pitchaya
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Chiangmai United
(Home) 25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4 Chiangmai United
18 Apr
Chiangmai United
3 : 0 Nong Bua Pitchaya
04 Apr
Chiangmai United
1 : 2 Rasisalai United
21 Mar
Khonkaen United
2 : 1 Chiangmai United
14 Mar
Chiangmai United
0 : 1 Trat FC
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Chiangmai United
3 : 0 Nong Bua Pitchaya
04 Apr
Chiangmai United
1 : 2 Rasisalai United
14 Mar
Chiangmai United
0 : 1 Trat FC
04 Mar
Chiangmai United
2 : 4 Pattani
13 Feb
Chiangmai United
3 : 2 Bangkok FC
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Nong Bua Pitchaya
(Away) 23 May
Pattani
3 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
16 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 1 Pattani
09 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 1 Police Tero
03 May
Police Tero
2 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
25 Apr
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 3 Rasisalai United
Page 1 of 7
23 May
Pattani
3 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
03 May
Police Tero
2 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
18 Apr
Chiangmai United
3 : 0 Nong Bua Pitchaya
22 Mar
Nakhon Pathom
3 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
08 Mar
Trat FC
1 : 2 Nong Bua Pitchaya
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rasisalai United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 64:35 | 71 |
| 2 | Sisaket United | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 49:31 | 60 |
| 3 | Pattani | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 49:45 | 58 |
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59:59 | 54 |
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 6 | Chainat Hornbill | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50:46 | 46 |
| 7 | Khonkaen United | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 60:52 | 45 |
| 8 | Mahasarakham | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:42 | 45 |
| 9 | Trat FC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 49:53 | 44 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55:58 | 43 |
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:50 | 43 |
| 12 | Pattaya United | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45:42 | 42 |
| 13 | Songkhla | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:46 | 41 |
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29:37 | 39 |
| 16 | Kasetsart | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 46:49 | 38 |
| 17 | Nakhon Si United | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 32:54 | 36 |
| 18 | Bangkok FC | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 40:56 | 35 |
| 19 | Lampang F.C. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
