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Chiangrai Utd vs Ratchaburi Prediction & H2H Stats

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Leo Chiangrai Stadium, Chiang Rai
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Yaemsaen S.
Assist: Enomoto I.
66'
Sub
Iury C. In: Gabriel Henrique
Out: Iury C.
66'
Sub
Suvannaseat S. In: Phutonyong C.
Out: Suvannaseat S.

AI Match Summary

Chiangrai Utd in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chiangrai Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Chiangrai Utd
30%
Draws
33%
Ratchaburi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chiangrai Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ratchaburi have won more games recently than Chiangrai Utd.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Chiangrai Utd taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 13%
Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiangrai Utd Ratchaburi
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.83 2
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Ratchaburi
1:0
Dec 24, 2025 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai Utd
1:2
Apr 15, 2025 League Cup
Chiangrai Utd vs Ratchaburi
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Ratchaburi
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai Utd
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiangrai Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Yaemsaen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ratchaburi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiangrai Utd 48 / 100
Ratchaburi 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiangrai Utd Ratchaburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiangrai Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiangrai Utd's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ratchaburi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Chiangrai Utd went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chiangrai Utd VS Ratchaburi
0.75 Goals Scored 3.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiangrai Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
0 : 1
Sisaket United
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Chonburi
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Uthai Thani
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0
Chiangrai Utd
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Ratchaburi

(Away)
20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Ratchaburi
15 Sept
Ratchaburi
4 : 6
Shanghai Port
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
06 Sept
Ayutthaya United
2 : 1
Ratchaburi
29 Aug
Ratchaburi
5 : 0
Bangkok FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)