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Chiatura vs Gori

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2018
Chiatura Logo

Chiatura

4 - 1
FT
Gori Logo

Gori

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2018 game between Chiatura and Gori finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chiatura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Chiatura
35%
Draws
52%
Gori
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gori come out ahead of Chiatura on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gori's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chiatura Clean Sheet 20%
Gori Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiatura Gori
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2021 Liga 3
Chiatura vs Gori
1:1
Jun 11, 2021 Liga 3
Gori vs Chiatura
3:1
Nov 21, 2018 Liga 3
Chiatura vs Gori
4:1
Jun 25, 2018 Liga 3
Gori vs Chiatura
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiatura 10 / 100
Gori 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiatura Gori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gori Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gori has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Chiatura found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Chiatura has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gori
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiatura

(Home)
02 Dec
Guria
2 : 1
Chiatura
25 Nov
Chiatura
0 : 0
Spaeri
18 Nov
Dusheti
3 : 0
Chiatura
11 Nov
Chiatura
1 : 1
Gori
04 Nov
Kolkheti 1913
5 : 0
Chiatura
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Gori

(Away)
20 Sept
Gori
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
06 Sept
Odishi 1919
2 : 3
Gori
29 Aug
Gori
3 : 1
Shturmi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Zugdidi 38 27 3 8 65:31 84
2 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 38 25 7 6 78:40 79
3 Guria 38 21 10 7 59:31 73
4 Iberia 1999 2 38 21 4 13 60:50 67
5 FC Kolkheti Khobi 38 17 10 11 54:35 61
6 Borjomi 38 18 7 13 66:56 61
7 Dusheti 38 19 4 15 64:55 61
8 Meshakhte Tkibuli 38 17 6 15 59:54 57
9 Gori 38 14 11 13 58:48 53
10 Betlemi Keda 38 14 9 15 52:58 51
11 Samegrelo 38 13 9 16 63:55 48
12 FC Tbilisi 2025 38 13 8 17 58:58 47
13 Chiatura 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
14 Mark Stars Tbilisi 38 13 7 18 59:65 46
15 Algeti Marneuli 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
16 Khoni 38 12 9 17 44:52 45
17 FC Gardabani 38 11 6 21 39:63 39
18 Sulori Vani 38 10 6 22 38:77 36
19 Samgurali II 38 8 7 23 40:82 31
20 Matchakhela 38 5 13 20 35:63 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Relegation)