Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chiba vs Benfica

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Hou-In L.
44' Event
Emmanuel A.
66' Event
Moreno Monteiro M. J.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League game between Chiba and Benfica finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Chiba
15%
Draws
51%
Benfica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Chiba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Elite League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Benfica have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chiba Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiba Benfica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.73 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Elite League
Benfica vs Chiba
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Elite League
Chiba vs Benfica
2:2
Feb 28, 2025 Elite League
Chiba vs Benfica
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Hou-In L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Emmanuel A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno Monteiro M. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiba 30 / 100
Benfica 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiba Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiba's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.

Benfica has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Benfica registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chiba VS Benfica
2.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiba

(Home)
26 Jul
Chiba
0 : 5
Must IPO
19 Jul
Chiba
6 : 0
G. Universe
11 Jul
Gala
3 : 0
Chiba
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
Page 1 of 6

Benfica

(Away)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
Page 1 of 6