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Chicago Dutch Lions vs Rochester FC

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chicago Dutch Lions in this USL League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chicago Dutch Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chicago Dutch Lions
6%
Draws
4%
Rochester FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chicago Dutch Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rochester FC have won more games recently than Chicago Dutch Lions.
  • Model gives Chicago Dutch Lions a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Chicago Dutch Lions Clean Sheet 19%
Rochester FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Dutch Lions Rochester FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 1 1
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs Chicago Dutch Lions
0:4
Jun 3, 2026 USL League Two
Chicago Dutch Lions vs Rochester FC
2:1
Jul 13, 2025 USL League Two
Chicago Dutch Lions vs Rochester FC
0:2
May 26, 2025 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs Chicago Dutch Lions
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Dutch Lions 85 / 100
Rochester FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Dutch Lions Rochester FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rochester FC conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Chicago Dutch Lions scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Chicago Dutch Lions has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Dutch Lions VS Rochester FC
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%