Sport Picks
Chicago Fire II vs Toronto FC II
USA
MLS Next Pro 2025 SeatGeek Stadium, Bridgeview, IL 
Match Events
12'
12'
Ythallo
46'
46'
Sub
Cupps C. In: Oyegunle O.
Out: Cupps C.
46'
46'
Sub
Sharp C. In: Barrow D.
Out: Sharp C.
AI Match Summary
The MLS Next Pro 2025 game between Chicago Fire II and Toronto FC II finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chicago Fire II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chicago Fire II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Chicago Fire II carry the better recent record into this one.
- Chicago Fire II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
- Chicago Fire II have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chicago Fire II Clean Sheet 13%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chicago Fire II | Toronto FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 20, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Chicago Fire II
2:3
Apr 25, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Chicago Fire II
2:0
Mar 14, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Toronto FC II
1:0
Jul 10, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Toronto FC II
2:0
May 31, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Chicago Fire II
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chicago Fire II Compare
Top Goalscorer Richards B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Toronto FC II Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chicago Fire II 84 / 100
Toronto FC II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chicago Fire II Toronto FC II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chicago Fire II found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Toronto FC II conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Toronto FC II has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Chicago Fire II VS Toronto FC II
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Chicago Fire II
(Home) 25 Jul
Carolina Core
1 : 5 Chicago Fire II
18 Jul
Crown Legacy
3 : 2 Chicago Fire II
12 Jul
Chicago Fire II
3 : 0 New York Red Bulls II
06 Jul
Huntsville City
3 : 2 Chicago Fire II
27 Jun
Chattanooga
3 : 2 Chicago Fire II
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Chicago Fire II
3 : 0 New York Red Bulls II
14 Jun
Chicago Fire II
3 : 1 Inter Miami II
23 May
Chicago Fire II
4 : 0 Huntsville City
09 May
Chicago Fire II
3 : 2 Crown Legacy
26 Apr
Chicago Fire II
2 : 3 Orlando City B
Page 1 of 3
Toronto FC II
(Away) 25 Jul
Inter Miami II
2 : 1 Toronto FC II
17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati 2
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2 Toronto FC II
04 Jul
Atlanta United 2
1 : 0 Toronto FC II
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3 New England Revolution II
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Inter Miami II
2 : 1 Toronto FC II
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2 Toronto FC II
04 Jul
Atlanta United 2
1 : 0 Toronto FC II
21 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Toronto FC II
25 May
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 3 Toronto FC II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 68:56 | 58 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 64:34 | 58 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 54:37 | 54 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 69:58 | 48 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 40:41 | 41 |
| 6 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 34:42 | 38 |
| 7 | New York City II | 28 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 53:61 | 35 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew 2 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 40:64 | 22 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chattanooga | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 42:36 | 53 |
| 2 | Huntsville City | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 56:32 | 52 |
| 3 | Carolina Core | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 44:43 | 38 |
| 5 | Orlando City B | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 38:55 | 37 |
| 6 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 45:54 | 32 |
| 7 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 40:72 | 25 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 59:36 | 52 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 55:42 | 51 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 61:54 | 42 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 48:51 | 41 |
| 5 | Portland Timbers 2 | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 47:54 | 38 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 62:67 | 36 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 47:61 | 33 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 | 28 | 22 | 0 | 6 | 60:37 | 62 |
| 2 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 55:40 | 51 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 45:42 | 44 |
| 4 | North Texas | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 46:56 | 43 |
| 5 | Austin FC II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 35:36 | 41 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 40:47 | 37 |
| 7 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 30:67 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 68:56 | 58 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 64:34 | 58 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 54:37 | 54 |
| 4 | Chattanooga | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 42:36 | 53 |
| 5 | Huntsville City | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 56:32 | 52 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 69:58 | 48 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 40:41 | 41 |
| 8 | Carolina Core | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 9 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 34:42 | 38 |
| 10 | Atlanta United 2 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 44:43 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando City B | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 38:55 | 37 |
| 12 | New York City II | 28 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 53:61 | 35 |
| 13 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 45:54 | 32 |
| 14 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 40:72 | 25 |
| 15 | Columbus Crew 2 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 40:64 | 22 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 | 28 | 22 | 0 | 6 | 60:37 | 62 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 59:36 | 52 |
| 3 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 55:40 | 51 |
| 4 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 55:42 | 51 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 45:42 | 44 |
| 6 | North Texas | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 46:56 | 43 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 61:54 | 42 |
| 8 | Ventura County | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 48:51 | 41 |
| 9 | Austin FC II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 35:36 | 41 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers 2 | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 47:54 | 38 |
| 11 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 40:47 | 37 |
| 12 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 62:67 | 36 |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 47:61 | 33 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 30:67 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)
