Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chicago Stars W vs San Diego Wave W

USA USA

NWSL Women SeatGeek Stadium, Bridgeview, IL
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Dudinha
Assist: Godfrey L. E.
18'
Dali K.
22'
Morroni P.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Chicago Stars W and San Diego Wave W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Diego Wave W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Chicago Stars W
22%
Draws
60%
San Diego Wave W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: San Diego Wave W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • San Diego Wave W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on San Diego Wave W taking it.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors San Diego Wave W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 12%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Stars W San Diego Wave W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs San Diego Wave W
0:2
Mar 29, 2026 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Chicago Stars W
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Chicago Stars W
6:1
Apr 26, 2025 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs San Diego Wave W
0:3
Sep 22, 2024 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs San Diego Wave W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chicago Stars W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

San Diego Wave W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Byars T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Stars W 19 / 100
San Diego Wave W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Stars W San Diego Wave W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Diego Wave W let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Chicago Stars W found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Chicago Stars W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Stars W VS San Diego Wave W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chicago Stars W

(Home)
18 Jul
Chicago Stars W
0 : 2
Angel City W
11 Jul
Boston Legacy W
2 : 0
Chicago Stars W
05 Jul
Chicago Stars W
3 : 2
Utah Royals W
31 May
Chicago Stars W
0 : 2
San Diego Wave W
24 May
Bay FC W
0 : 1
Chicago Stars W
Page 1 of 6

San Diego Wave W

(Away)
18 Jul
Kansas City Current W
2 : 2
San Diego Wave W
12 Jul
San Diego Wave W
0 : 2
Angel City W
05 Jul
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0
Gotham FC W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4
San Diego Wave W
04 Jun
San Diego Wave W
1 : 0
Philippines W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gotham FC W1694321:1231
2Washington Spirit W1593324:1230
3San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
4Portland Thorns FC W1784527:2028
5Utah Royals W1583422:1627
6Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
7Orlando Pride W1772822:2123
8Angel City W1471622:1422
9North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Houston Dash W1654719:2419
12Bay FC W1553716:2018
13Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
14Boston Legacy W1644817:2316
15Chicago Stars W1640128:3112
16Racing Louisville W14221016:278
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)