Sport Picks
Chilpancingo vs Calor De San Pedro
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 
Match Events
51'
51'
Arana J.
53'
53'
Ayala J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chilpancingo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Calor De San Pedro haven't matched Chilpancingo's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Chilpancingo Clean Sheet 68%
Calor De San Pedro Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chilpancingo | Calor De San Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.89 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Calor De San Pedro vs Chilpancingo
4:0
Nov 8, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Chilpancingo vs Calor De San Pedro
1:1
Feb 11, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Calor De San Pedro vs Chilpancingo
1:1
Oct 29, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Calor De San Pedro vs Chilpancingo
2:1
Sep 24, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Chilpancingo vs Calor De San Pedro
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chilpancingo Compare
Top Goalscorer Ayala J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.45
Calor De San Pedro Compare
Top Goalscorer Arana J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.37
Avg xA / game 0.84
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chilpancingo 41 / 100
Calor De San Pedro 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chilpancingo Calor De San Pedro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chilpancingo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chilpancingo's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Calor De San Pedro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Chilpancingo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chilpancingo VS Calor De San Pedro
1.14 Goals Scored 1.88
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.63
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chilpancingo
(Home) 11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2 Chilpancingo
28 Mar
Chilpancingo
2 : 1 Correcaminos 2
22 Mar
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0 Chilpancingo
14 Mar
Chilpancingo
1 : 1 Zitacuaro
06 Mar
Atletico Hidalgo
0 : 1 Chilpancingo
Page 1 of 6
28 Mar
Chilpancingo
2 : 1 Correcaminos 2
14 Mar
Chilpancingo
1 : 1 Zitacuaro
28 Feb
Chilpancingo
2 : 1 Cordobes FC
14 Feb
Chilpancingo
1 : 2 Lobos ULMX
24 Jan
Chilpancingo
1 : 1 FC Santiago
Page 1 of 3
Calor De San Pedro
(Away) 19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0 Ciervos
12 Sept
Real Refineros
0 : 0 Calor De San Pedro
05 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
3 : 0 Calor De San Pedro
18 Apr
Deportiva Venados
2 : 1 Calor De San Pedro
16 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
0 : 1 Deportiva Venados
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Real Refineros
0 : 0 Calor De San Pedro
05 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
3 : 0 Calor De San Pedro
18 Apr
Deportiva Venados
2 : 1 Calor De San Pedro
29 Mar
Apodaca
1 : 0 Calor De San Pedro
25 Mar
CS Canamy
1 : 2 Calor De San Pedro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 71:16 | 74 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 46:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 54 |
| 4 | Leones Negros 2 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42:26 | 53 |
| 5 | Tecos | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 49:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 32:27 | 46 |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 37:40 | 37 |
| 9 | Guerreros de Autlan | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | 32 |
| 10 | UA Zacatecas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 11 | Ensenada FC | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 30:55 | 28 |
| 12 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 39:66 | 23 |
| 13 | Zapotlanejo | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39:73 | 21 |
| 14 | Colima FC | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 24:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47:19 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 51 |
| 3 | Zacatepec | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 29:15 | 45 |
| 4 | Halcones de Zapopan | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Calor De San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:26 | 44 |
| 6 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 31:22 | 44 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 40 |
| 8 | Correcaminos 2 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 9 | Chilpancingo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:41 | 35 |
| 10 | Cordobes FC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:31 | 28 |
| 12 | CS Canamy | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 33:53 | 26 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20:50 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 22:62 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 55:9 | 71 |
| 2 | Deportiva Venados | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Tapachula | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 51:35 | 44 |
| 4 | Celaya | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 5 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 35:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35:28 | 38 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 8 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33:46 | 34 |
| 10 | Chapulineros | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Canoneros FC | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 12 | Neza FC | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Dragones Toluca | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21:47 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
