Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chinese Taipei vs Sri Lanka

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Taipei Municipal Stadium, Taipei
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Suresh R.
Assist: Kelly G.
26' Event
Senthurvasan N.
Assist: Suresh R.
39'
Sub
Chen Po-Liang In: Tsai Meng-Cheng
Out: Chen Po-Liang

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Sri Lanka advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Chinese Taipei
6%
Draws
90%
Sri Lanka
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sri Lanka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sri Lanka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sri Lanka a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Sri Lanka arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sri Lanka, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sri Lanka have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Chinese Taipei Clean Sheet 10%
Sri Lanka Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chinese Taipei Sri Lanka
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Asian Cup
Chinese Taipei vs Sri Lanka
1:3
Jun 10, 2025 Asian Cup
Sri Lanka vs Chinese Taipei
3:1
Apr 6, 2009 AFC Challenge Cup
Chinese Taipei vs Sri Lanka
1:2
Apr 6, 2008 AFC Challenge Cup
Sri Lanka vs Chinese Taipei
2:2
Apr 8, 2006 AFC Challenge Cup
Sri Lanka vs Chinese Taipei
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chinese Taipei Compare

Top Goalscorer Yao-hsing Yu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sri Lanka Compare

Top Goalscorer Suresh R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Senthurvasan N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chinese Taipei 10 / 100
Sri Lanka 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chinese Taipei Sri Lanka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Chinese Taipei's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sri Lanka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: Sri Lanka registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chinese Taipei VS Sri Lanka
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chinese Taipei

(Home)
31 Mar
Chinese Taipei
1 : 3
Sri Lanka
18 Nov
Turkmenistan
3 : 1
Chinese Taipei
14 Oct
Chinese Taipei
1 : 6
Thailand
09 Oct
Thailand
2 : 0
Chinese Taipei
05 Sept
Indonesia
6 : 0
Chinese Taipei
Page 1 of 6

Sri Lanka

(Away)
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
31 Mar
Chinese Taipei
1 : 3
Sri Lanka
18 Nov
Sri Lanka
0 : 4
Thailand
14 Oct
Turkmenistan
2 : 1
Sri Lanka
09 Oct
Sri Lanka
1 : 0
Turkmenistan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tajikistan642014:314
2Philippines642016:614
3Maldives61053:133
4Timor-Leste61054:153
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Yemen642020:114
2Lebanon641114:213
3Bhutan61144:164
4Brunei61053:223
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Singapore64208:414
2Hong Kong62228:88
3Bangladesh61236:85
4India61234:65
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thailand650116:515
2Turkmenistan640211:712
3Sri Lanka63038:99
4Chinese Taipei60065:190
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Syria660021:218
2Myanmar64028:1112
3Afghanistan60244:112
4Pakistan60242:112
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vietnam660017:218
2Malaysia630310:109
3Laos62044:166
4Nepal61055:83
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)