Sport Picks
Chippenham Town vs Chelmsford Prediction & H2H Stats
England
National League South 2025/2026 
Match Events
54'
54'
Murphy J.
AI Match Summary
Chelmsford in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelmsford.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chelmsford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Chelmsford at 1.75 per game, Chippenham Town at 1.3.
- Chelmsford are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Chelmsford here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chippenham Town Clean Sheet 19%
Chelmsford Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chippenham Town | Chelmsford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 13 |
| Losses | 12 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 National League South
Chippenham Town vs Chelmsford
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 FA Cup
Chelmsford vs Chippenham Town
4:3
Aug 23, 2025 National League South
Chelmsford vs Chippenham Town
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 National League South
Chippenham Town vs Chelmsford
0:1
Aug 26, 2024 National League South
Chelmsford vs Chippenham Town
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chippenham Town Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Chelmsford Compare
Top Goalscorer Murphy J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chippenham Town 12 / 100
Chelmsford 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chippenham Town Chelmsford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelmsford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chippenham Town scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
Chelmsford let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Chippenham Town has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chippenham Town VS Chelmsford
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chippenham Town
(Home) 03 Oct
Cray Wanderers
3 : 0 Chippenham Town
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0 Chippenham Town
26 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 3 Weymouth
22 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 1 Yate
18 Sept
Yate
0 : 0 Chippenham Town
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 3 Weymouth
22 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 1 Yate
05 Sept
Chippenham Town
1 : 1 Havant & Waterlooville
29 Aug
Chippenham Town
1 : 2 Berkhamsted Town
15 Aug
Chippenham Town
3 : 2 Plymouth Parkway
Page 1 of 3
Chelmsford
(Away) 03 Oct
Brackley
0 : 2 Chelmsford
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0 Horsham FC
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1 Chelmsford
12 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 1 Chelmsford
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Brackley
0 : 2 Chelmsford
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1 Chelmsford
12 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 1 Chelmsford
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3 Chelmsford
31 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
